CapitolFax.com - Latest Comments in New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Rich Miller — Thu, 02 Nov 2006 07:41:20 -0000

Let's close this thread and move here instead. Thanks.

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Rich Miller — Thu, 02 Nov 2006 07:13:05 -0000

People, this is a statewide survey.

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Jake's Chicago Politics — Thu, 02 Nov 2006 07:05:01 -0000

It's about time there was a poll that was more believable.

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Arthur Andersen — Thu, 02 Nov 2006 02:54:50 -0000

Little Egypt, I know exactly where you are talking about-haven't been there in years. That food would be worth a drive from Springfield sometime.

Hope you enjoy the meal and hope it's not on you.

PS: Hope Bill's your waiter.

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Lovie's Leather — Thu, 02 Nov 2006 02:03:57 -0000

Sorry, Nickname. I am afraid that vote would count toward Randy Stufflebean....

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Stuck with Sen. CPA — Thu, 02 Nov 2006 01:50:38 -0000

- Concerned Voter

"A lot of the copley papers are around the chicago suburbs, so if we are polling like that and downstaters arenÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t crazy about him, maybe thereÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s a chance for Judy."

In fact, the Copley papers around Chicago were sold to Hollinger several years ago. The remaining Copley papers in Illinois are in southern Illinois and are up for sale if you're interested.

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Nickname — Thu, 02 Nov 2006 01:47:10 -0000

So if I forget how to spell Nieukerk and write in "The funny fat dude", will my vote be counted for him?

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Lovie's Leather — Thu, 02 Nov 2006 01:04:16 -0000

Man, all these bets are starting to be made. I think I made a safer bet for Mark Kirk... saying that I would pick a dem ballot in '08 and vote for Hillary in the primary if Kirk lost. But on this race, I wouldn't even bet Phil Hare's necktie!!!

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

staying green — Thu, 02 Nov 2006 00:22:33 -0000

A pox on both houses. As much as I dislike the Governor, I'm tired of what both the Democrats and Republicans have been dishing up. Here's a great opportunity to stir the pot a little bit; something we don't often get to do in Illinois.

I'm staying green.

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

observer — Thu, 02 Nov 2006 00:20:20 -0000

Rs your last gov is going to jail la la la la la la la!!!!! get over it you lost, will loose again and more of you wil loose your jobs the tidal wave is coming grap the tree quick. but please take martin and doubet and stout with you

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Little Egypt — Thu, 02 Nov 2006 00:09:32 -0000

Little Egypt Native - you're on for that bet at 17th Street - in Marion. Meet you at the fire pit inside at 8 p.m. Bring your credit card because we intend to order the family deal for $60 and celebrate JBT's win.

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Chambananon — Wed, 01 Nov 2006 23:22:03 -0000

I'm all for the weather's inclusion in prognostication here...

but isn't 6 days out a little hairy for an accuracy level? I barely trust the 3-day forecast as it is.

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Arthur Andersen — Wed, 01 Nov 2006 22:54:43 -0000

I was also curious about the weather forecast.
Springfield 56/38, mostly cloudy, 30% chance of precip. Chicago 40/24, cloudy, 10% chance of precip.

That's not unlike the 1982 Election Day forecast when Thompson was predicted to win in a landslide and we all know it ended up.

Of course, the weather sucked that day all over the state.

No pollster can predict the weather.

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

the ole precinct captain — Wed, 01 Nov 2006 22:54:24 -0000

Folks remember the last few days belong to the organization. The machine may not be what it once was but with blago's mailing, TV, and idiots like me walking the precincts that is pretty had to beat. Topinka does not have enough to finish. This will be either razor close or a romp by blago. Either way Blago wins. I will bet a Paul Powell shoebox on it.

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Disgusted — Wed, 01 Nov 2006 22:50:42 -0000

Glad to see a change for Judy. She may not be the best candidate but I think she will do her best for the state. I would love to see her get some prime time slot on all the major morning shows and just sit in front of a blue screen and talk to the people of Illinois, stating her plan for the state and promising that her term will be corruption free. Just be honest and be herself.
And no negatives about Milarod. I think it would get lots of free replays and would be such a pleasant change from the boatload of negative ads out there that people will stop and be surprised.

As for the weather next Tuesday, I hope Chicago gets the rain and ice storm of the century. But I bet all the dead people will still get out to vote. Cook County never fails in getting that group out.

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Ignatius J. Reily — Wed, 01 Nov 2006 22:44:27 -0000

Ok how's this screenplay:

The battle field has started to clear--the fog has lifted, the gun smoke has dissipated and the wounded have been retrieved. Emperor Rod "Maximilian" Blagoevich has directed a $15 million cannonade at the undisciplined, disorganized and underfurnished Topinkaites and to both armies' dismay, the Topinkaites knowing not where to turn even if they could, stand battered and weary but inexplicably still in position. Dismayed, exhausted and disillusioned, the Maximilians seek leadership--out of this valley--if for nothing but to reflect on this situation. But Max is distracted and both sides now stunned--line to line and alomost eye to eye--know that this battle hinges not on artillery-- but on just one final and potentially fatal action of grace--a swift and decisive cavalry charge.....

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Little Egypt Native — Wed, 01 Nov 2006 22:40:27 -0000

This polling is reminiscent of 98, as a previous poster noticed. Poshard was always down, and the media used their own polls to write "news" which usually had headlines like, "Pro-gun, gay-hating hayseed trails a good man" ... or less complimentary if some left wing fringe group had held a protest rally that morning.

Remember, just days before the election, the Chicago Sun Times poll had the race at about a four percent margin. In the end, the difference was what -- about 3%, or just a hair less?

I say this poll is pretty on target and that means it ends up being a 47-45-8 race.

Blagojevich will win. And on that I bet a rack of ribs from 17th Street!

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Down the middle — Wed, 01 Nov 2006 22:34:23 -0000

I'm praying the SJ-R poll reflects reality. I voted for Blago in 2002 and felt better about that vote then than just about any I've ever cast. But watching as he lied, deceived, ignored his campaign pledges and allowed corruption to flourish in every direction around him has turned me sour toward him like no other politician in my lifetime. I know Judy and I know her faults, but I can't believe she would be any worse than what we've had for the past three-plus years. I'll be voting for her next Tuesday, my first Republican vote for governor since Edgar over Hartigan. My sense is that many of the independents and those giving Whitney some thought will eventually turn her way, making for a very close election night. I believe that Blago's reckless leadership style will catch up to him. Let's hope it's the voters who pull the plug on his disastrous reign before the U.S. attorney does.

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Napoleon Dynamite — Wed, 01 Nov 2006 22:33:45 -0000

Rich: anyway of letting us know the reliability/success of polling firms over the last few races? I remember Zogby did a poll in 02 that had Ryan closing the gap in the last week and it turned out to be wrong. Copley seems to be reliable enough but just wondering how they've fared in the past.

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

DuPage Dandy — Wed, 01 Nov 2006 22:27:14 -0000

It appears Birkett continues to drag JBT down despite all the negative Blago news. Too bad she did not pick a better candidate.....looks like the Whitney concealed carry stuff is sinking him too

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Anonymous — Wed, 01 Nov 2006 22:25:48 -0000

Weather for election day..........Chance of rain, high in the 50's

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Citizen A — Wed, 01 Nov 2006 22:18:51 -0000

What will he do if he loses ? First he will have to get his law license back - he let it lapse. Then he'll probably hire himself to defend against the charges coming from Fitz against him for his graft and corruption. Then he'll move to Club Fed for 10 to 20. Then . . . well by then it really won't matter.

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Concerned Voter — Wed, 01 Nov 2006 22:14:02 -0000

A lot of the copley papers are around the chicago suburbs, so if we are polling like that and downstaters aren't crazy about him, maybe there's a chance for Judy.

It was nice to see a commercial for Lisa Madigan today, they mentioned in it the fact that she even was against her own party's governor sellng the Thompson/State of Illinois/Big Ugly Glass building. It's nice to see that there's disagreement in both parties. Should be fun this Tuesday.

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Shelbyville — Wed, 01 Nov 2006 22:03:34 -0000

"If Vlad Corruptovich loses his bid for a second term as governor of Illinois, what will he do?"

I guess he may have to file as an attorney in IL and practice law.

This election may come down to the weather. What is the forecast for Tuesday?

Re: New poll has “dead heat” in guv’s race

Notyet! — Wed, 01 Nov 2006 21:59:29 -0000

The person that posted around the 1pm time made a nice comment about the St Louis newspaper saying that the last gov election will be close. Look what happend. It wasn't close. I know copley is different then the St Louis paper and probably more accurate. But from the area I live she is slowly picking up support. Same for Rosakm. He was down for a while but I would say that he is up by no more than 2 points.