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The Dems are probably wishing the Repubs would find a savior too because the alternative is heavy duty fighting among themselves.
Until they start showing proof of life, I can't imagine why anybody would give the Repubs a dime.
In other words, barring yet another unacceptable, scandal-ridden Democratic statewide candidate in '08 and an unacceptable Republican alternative tagged with the George Ryan label, I think the burden of proof falls onto the Greens on whether they can retain their major party status. It's possible, but it won't be easy. You're probably gonna have to run an actual race next time, not just piggy-back on widespread public disgust.
I think we're going to see Red Democrats and Blue Democrats in the state from now on, with pockets of Republicans in their traditional areas. Blue Democrats will mainly come from the minority city and south suburbs, and some of the north shore liberal areas. Red Democrats will come from So IL, emerging areas like DuPage and Will County and blue collar areas of Chicago and near suburbs.
I suspect the Blue dems will neutralize the Greens in most places they would be found. The Red dems might neutralize the Repubs in a few of their traditional areas, too (Melissa Bean, Jack Franks, Larry Walsh, etc.)
Durbin is popular, in large part because he does represent the political values of most Illinois voters, regardless of how often conservatives claim otherwise.
That's just fine if the Dems divide up a bit amongst themselves. That still creates a sort of check-and-balance, sad as it sounds, within our state government. I must say that I still think this is somewhat healthy. Much healthier than having the Dems shift really far leftward in ideology and having all of them in total and complete agreement with each other, don't you think?
A little independent thinking within the ranks never hurts, in my opinion.
As for the Illinois GOP? They need fresh blood. Young people, or something. But where does the Illinois GOP go to find 'em? In the liberal colleges? Hah hah hah. Like that's ever going to happen.
They need moderate (read: electable) types to get the younger generation excited about getting involved in politics, and there's really no way to even organize a plan to plot strategy when the party itself is pretty much kaput.
Let's just try and talk some sense into the Dems on some of the issues, or the way to go about implementing needed changes on the issues that affect us all. Try to persuade, I suppose, because that's all there is as an option right now.
I'd like to see Jim Edgar run, though, but I doubt he will.
IL CRs and YRs are not fond of corruption (in and out of the ILGOP), they are working towards restoring the future... in fact, a group of students at the University of Illinois at Springfield is currently planning a Unity Conference to try to get the conservative/moderates throughout the state unified with a platform each can stand on proudly.
Yeah, it's going to take a bit of compromising, tossing out some corrupt people, and re-establishing the party as the party of low taxes, anti-terrorism, no corruption, and family values (and not extreme family values).
I see the future of Illinois through IL CRs and YRs, and the future looks bright!
That's funny, though, that the students have it together as the old guard IL GOP is kaput. Maybe that's best. Out with the old, and in with the new.
Love the idea of a Unity conference, by the way. Sounds good.
Thanks for the optimistic views, Jeff. Made my day.
Why don't you just tell us how you really feel about our state's Senior Senator (who is, by the way, the #2 guy in the Senate)?
Maybe when you say he's not very bright, he says a lot of stupid things and is wrong about a lot of issues ... well, maybe it takes one to know one, eh?
Not at all a bad idea.
Lloyd Dobler: I got a question. If you guys know so much about women, how come you're here at like the Gas 'n' Sip on a Saturday night completely alone drinking beers with no women anywhere?
Joe: By choice, man.
It's unfortunate for the Republicans that they have no one established to run against him, but a deep-pocketed businessman with a history of civic involvement might upset Durbin in 2008, when voters should be more willing to dump elected officials who personify politics as usual.
My sense is that they don't do well in Illinois. Peter Fitzgerald is the only one who got elected and he didn't last.
But multi-millionaires turned Senate or Governor hopeful mostly flop in other states too.
Tom Golisano, Al Chechi, Michael Huffington, Ciresi in Minnesota.
Dayton finally got elected in Minnesota and had a Senate career that closely paralleled Peter Fitzgerald's.
Corzine made it work in New Jersey. Herb Kohl in Wisconsin.
It seems like the party's largely want to use these millionaire businessmen. On a national level it frees resources for other states without the demoralization of simply conceding.
On the state level it provides jobs of the political consultants. And the money put into GOTV helps the down ballot races in theory.
But largely these deep pockets businessmen get used by the political types.
Anybody who is getting advice to drop $15 million of his (or her) own money running against Durbin ought to seek a second opinion from someone who isn't financially invested in the decision.
If you're gonna drop $15 million bucks to try to become popular, it might make more sense to drop it in the charitable sector. Those people are more loyal in their affection that the political consultants who will probably stab Daddy Warbucks in the back once he stops writing checks. "Warbucks was a weak candidate for reasons X, Y and Z, but don't use my name."