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Yep, last night was very good news for taxpayers of Illinois. The light at the end of Rod's tunnel is the Polish Express coming to save us.
By the way Impartial Observer...I don't know if your analysis is very accurate. Why should Rod be concerned about 30% going for EE? There is no reason to think that the Dems won't rally behind him based on your assumptions that the Reps will rally around JBT. The way I see it, Rod is just as likely to bring his party behind him as JBT is to get the staunch conservatives to show up in November for her. The fact is, both have to mend some fences within their own party if they want to win, but right now Rod has the $$$ to make his work a whole lot easier.
Perhaps later we should have a thread with recommendations for both campaigns.
Downstate, the polls had Eisendrath exactly where he was (last poll had him at 28%, he got 29%), and they were taken before a $1 million tv buy.
Anon 6:15, she Czech.
Realist, don't forget 1.4 million Illinoisans voted for Alan Keyes in last year's general, and while comparing primaries to general elections isn't apt, I will suggest that Eisendrath's 30% might be more likely to vote for Judy than Oberweis' 31%.
Eisendrath's supports are more likely to vote for Topinka than Blago, because Judy IS A LIBERAL!
However, I wouldn’t be surprised to find out that Mr. Roser and crew were taking a good close look at the conservative turn out. Wouldn’t that be something if a 3rd party conservative ticket got formed all of the sudden.
They're both capable of doing that and it pays benefits in the burbs too
When was the last time a sitting Governor lost ANY counties to a challenger in the primary and then went on to win the General Election? (Especially to a underfunded challenger with virtually no name recognition outside of Cook County)
Blagojevich is in serious trouble downstate and probably can't win the region back -- he'll have to concentrate on a few pockets of support and really push for a big turnout in Chicago.
Topinka has weathered the attacks. She'll need to toughen up a little in the General, but I don't think it will be as hard to unite the party as some people think -- most Brady and Gidwitz supporters are already there and probably a majority of Oberweis supporters are too.
The Republican legislative leaders got the candidates they needed for the General election. Sue Simpson's decisive win gives her the upper hand in the general. The Dems will play there because they don't have many options, but won't have much credibility.
Despite the media's fawning over her candidacy, Duckworth barely won. No reason to think Henry Hyde's seat will change parties.
The "Greek Guy's" victory leaves the Dems with an all-Cook County ticket and Radogno facing a candidate with serious ethical issues in the year when ethics will be on everyone's minds.
Zinga gets a rematch against Evans and this time around, she's been vindicated by recent news articles that raise the possibility that Evans really is too ill to continue in Congress.
All-in-all, as I said, I'm not disappointed. Seems like the Republicans came out of it with the "best case" scenario. Won't be easy, but given the alternatives, this looks pretty good.
Exactly, and Topinka the friend of Bobby Rush
should be looking at ways to chip away at that overwhelming city vote. This can be done.
Just saw her a few mins ago on CLTV. She responded to question about ties to George Ryan and she said that hits been taken. I think she's right. It's past.
I'll concede that I was impressed with the turnout for oberweis. Scared a bit by it too, and I'm being serious with that statement.
I'll gladly get behind Judy in this. If a good percentage of the GOP base turns out for her and she can get some of the unhappy Dems (which by the way oberweis NEVER could have accomplished) then we've got a chance.
Rather than turning to name-calling and blaming, I'll congratulate the candidates on a hard-fought race. At their core, they are all good people who had good goals for the state, and while I don't agree with all of them on everything, I applaud them for their involvement in the democratic process.
As for EE, let's face it, getting 30% isn't really much. I'd get 30%. So would mickey mouse.
Actually, based on the numbers, Skeeter was nearly right. I said 28%. The latest numbers show 29%.
Two big stories:
1. The decline of the influence of the far right in the ILGOP. Salvi was whipped by McSweeney. Oberweis and Brady got kicked around. I give credit where credit is due. The ILGOP looks liked it learned from the Keyes affair. Illinois is not Georgia. Illinois does not vote for the right wing extremists.
2. The other story is the lack of influence of Speaker Madigan. The State Treas. race was not even close. Blago, no pal of Speaker Madigan, won easily.
Incidently, to those who claim that the 29% is a bad sign for Blago in the fall: Sorry, but that is not the case. I voted for EE and although I might have voted for Gidwitz, there is no way that I will vote for a team that includes Birkett. Blago will win 53 - 47 or better. The Dems will unite behind him in November, even if he was not the first choice of some of us in March.
We will see how it plays out, but Illinois Republicans should be pleased that they have taken the party back from the dingbats on the far right.
Charlie are you looking for a job on the Topinka campaign?
BTW, I have a job and it's not with any of the candidates.
One final comment: Did anyone notice that Eisendrath got more votes than Oberweis?
That may be, but his opponent in the general is also from a Cook County suburb, as is the GOP candidate for Governor. The downstaters on the GOP ticket are running against current statewide officeholders who are pretty popular downstate.
I'm not quite sure how effectively the GOP can raise the Cook County issue.
Of course, there are some Republicans who seem obsessed with hjating Cook County and Chicago residents. Those folks are never going to vote for a Democrat. But I can't see the residency question being raised in a way that persuades swing voters.
perhaps you missed the results, but Jim SWAMPED your establishment lackey.... seems quite a bit of folks intended for Jim to be that very face....
As for Judy ... If I were Rod, I have two questions for her now.
1) Are you planning on marching this year, personally, in the Chicago gay pride parade?
2) If the Supreme Court in the next five years strikes down Roe v. Wade, do you favor an absolute right for a woman to have an abortion in the first two trimesters?
I can see how Judy can appeal to crossover Democrats, but unify the Republicans in this state? C'mon.
For all the talk of power by the Jill Staneks of Illinois, once again it was shown that she offers nothing more than hate-filled rants, and has no power of any sort in Illinois.
Was I a republican who dreamed I was a democrat, or a democrat who dreamed he was a republican?
I'm an Eisendrath supporter who is going to vote for Judy over Blagojevich, because he bugs me too much.
So, Brady was in it to kill Obe's chances - just all selfish motives. Tell me again why Oberweis was in it?
Perhaps if you haven't the stomach for politics.... I quite don't understand your ilk.... oh, wait, yes I do.... if you haven't the spine - step aside.... if being called nasty names upsets you, may I suggest you undertake a different hobby.... yours is so typical of the IL *ahem* "conservative"
Heck, why not remind them that as a statewide officerholder, Topinka failed to support legislation to end racial profiling?
As State Treasurer, did she support the earned income tax credit? This list goes on and on....
Barring an indictment in Blagojevich's inner circle, this race is over before it starts.
.... so, tell me, what EXACTLY did you end up with?....
According to today's Sun Times he is getting ready to start seeking signatures for an independent "bid" for governor.
He says the governor hasn't called in African American voters to ask them "what do you need."
Nothing subtle there.
Nothing like race-based politics either. Wonder if the white urban ultralibs will go along or are they starting to see the light. It's all about race. Wonder how much Blago will have to pay.
At least now Oberweis is a three-time loser. While I believe Brady ran a good race and was in it to win (doing much better than anyone expected - even with a blizzard that held down turnout across much of his base), I'm glad the race didn't end up with Oberweis winning. I'd have seriously had to think about not helping any statewide GOP candidates because the bloodbath in the fall would have kept the time and effort from being worth it. As it stands, we can move on, albeit maybe not as quickly as we would have liked, and a couple of our statewides might have a shot if Judy can run a good race.
However, the GOP has defined itself by fealty to George W. Bush. Bush's deficit spending is orders of magnitude worse than Blagojevich's games with the state pensions.
Unless JBT criticized Bush, she's going to have a hard time getting Dems to crossover. She'd have a better shot if she was an outsider with strong reform credentials. But who believes JBT is running to change the system? She'll do a couple symbolic things and otherwise preserve the perks of incumbency.
I see Blagojevich winning in a low turnout election, unless the Greens or Meeks get a large chunk of the Dem base. But if the Greens or Meeks generate enough excitement to get 10% of the vote, it will hurt Republicans running for Congress and the legislature.
As I'm writing this, I'm wondering if Michael Madigan will subtly encourage the Greens or Meeks?
Wouldn't it be a best of all worlds scenario to have fringe progressives and Blacks highly energized for the Greens or Meeks in an otherwise low turnout elections? Those extra voters will help Dems in the Illinois House. And if JBT wins with less than 50% of the vote she's not exactly in a strong position to tell the Speaker what to do.
And Lisa Madigan can run for governor in four years. Michael Madigan can retire on a positive note.
Lack of turnout all over the state was stunning
And it appears to be true in both parties.
Wonder what the voters were thinking.
Lack of any real downstate connections for either party will nullify that issue.
Points made about he drag the Brickhead will have are valid. Dems should get a copy of his late night speech. Sounded like guy rolling out of Quarter Draft Night.
So AG beat Madigan in Cook by over 100,00 votes, and won the rest of the state as well. Whatever you may think of Alexi, this is a good thing. It shows that the party may once again belong to the people, not just the chosen ones.
The whole geographic thing was trumped up by the Speaker to protect his interests not Democratic values.
Now let's see if he's willing to step up and get along - for the sake of the Party.
I have no qualms saying it's easier for me to vote for Judy than for Jim ... call me whatever you want because of that.
But, before you call me names, at least answer the question ... what was Oberweis in it for, if not for selfish motives?
I agree with you, for what it's worth, and I approve, but now tell that to the 1 in 3 Republican primary voters who picked Obie as their candidate.
Judy is going to have significant problems rallying her base.
So, let me get this right ... I simply made some general observations, you attacked some people on here ... I answered your question and asked you one ... you dodge the question and make unfounded statements.
Yep, that sounds about right.
To echo my earlier statements:
"Rather than turning to name-calling and blaming, I’ll congratulate the candidates on a hard-fought race. At their core, they are all good people who had good goals for the state, and while I don’t agree with all of them on everything, I applaud them for their involvement in the democratic process."
If the conservative republicans want to stay home in november, then obviously thats there choice. However, I don't think this is the time to be divided especially with such a weak incumbent. They always preached party unity when it was THEIR candidates, but now I guess for some those rules no longer apply. I have a feeling many of them are sensible individuals who would rather have an (R)and support their party rather than let GROD stay in power for another 4 years.
WHAT DOES A JUDY VICTORY GIVE YOU?"
OR will she follow the establishment game-plan, close her eyes real tight, click her heels together althewhile declaring - "there's no place like home," "there's no place like home," "there's no place like home"....
And Downstate, yours is one of many posts daily of the ever reliable "focus group of one," or in this case, 2 or 3.
I know two Republicans who hate Judy's guts, even though neither is a conservative idealogue. That small bit of anecdotal evidence has no bearing whatsoever on her support among Republicans in the general.
If the focus groups of one so often touted here meant anything, Eisendrath would be have shocked everyone with a suprising win, Regular Dems in the 6th CD would have roundly rejected Duckworth, Republicans would have crossed over for Claypool, etc.
You people that question the validity of every poll you read, and then turn around and cite isolated anectodal incidents as evidence of a trend always make me laugh.
Funny, last poll I saw showed that 66% of Illinoisans support the moratorium. Are you suggesting that blacks are less likely to support the moratorium than the state in general?
If you've got more recent polling that shows that blacks in Illinois don't support the moratorium, please share. And please, don't b.s. with some nationwide poll -- Illinois experience with the death penalty is rather unique.
If your idea of planning a campaign is Google, I understand why you consider yourself a hack.
I don't rely on convention wisdom, I actually talk to voters, and I read polling data -- and weather forecasts. Oh yeah, and I put the over-under on EE at 29%.
Speaking of polling, Downstate points out that Blagojevich should also remind black voters that Topinka opposes the assault weapons ban.
Don't get me wrong, nothing is in the bag this far out, and I don't see $15 million as the antidote to everything, but if anybody wants to put up cold, hard cash on the Governor's race, I'll take their money.
Hate filled rants never got anyone elected. You're a prime example of why Obie lost.
CALVIN GILES HAS LOST THE PRIMARY!!!
LET'S PARTY ON THE WEST SIDE WITH LASHAWN!!!
Not that anyone else here cares, but a surprise for me was Dallas Ingemunson's kid, Boyd, getting beat handily in the Kendall County state's attorney's race by Eric Weis, an assistant SA in Kendall. Weis got around 58 percent of the vote.
I'm beat as well. I need a nap, but have to work.
Sticks and stones.... now, go put your head back in the sand.... "hate filled?".... you folks are good entertainment.... is that what qualifies as "hate filled?"
I am also very surprised that Stroger has pulled this off.
Let's see--- "cowering spineless road-kill..." your "mocking laughter" at anyone who disagrees with your obviously superior mental and spelling skills...
Oh yeah, and ANYTHING that Oberweis sent out in the mail during the last two months.
First, in the governor's race, conservatives (Oberweis + Brady) outpolled the "moderates" (Topinka + Gidwitz) by over 11,000 votes (9:30 am results).
Second, McSweeney ran as a prolife candidate and obtained pro life organization endorsements (largely because Salvi declared too late) McSweeney ran as a solid conservative. McSweeney votes + Salvi votes swamped Churchill by about 2 to 1. Remember, the only authentic moderate, Bartels, pulled out of the race last December.
Third, Driscoll was doomed for other reasons. Little money, recently moved into the community (he lived in Chicago for years), flawed candidate.
The "Right Wing" as you call it not only showed strength, but proved they have a good future in Illinois. Unity, good candidates, and a little money are all that are needed (example, Peter Fitzgerald). And that will come with time.
In the meantime, look forward to 2007 and freshman conservative congressmen Roskam and McSweeney.
please, indulge the class.... havce you ONE specific example?.... or.... maybe.... perhaps.... you're just too disgustingly politically correct?.... whatta ya think, tiger??
Anyone have any word from the Rep or Dem unity breakfasts this morning ?
I agree with you up to a point -- the popular idea that the black community is "soft on crime" is false.
It is just as false as your idea that black lawmakers are "soft on crime" and not representing their community. In fact, most black lawmakers have supported longer jail sentences for most crimes most of the time. Your statement "African American legislators have always voted against their communities interest on crime issues" is absurdly false. It's also an insult to black voters, who you must feel are too stupid to look at their legislator's record.
I suggest you spend a little time today reviewing rollcalls for tougher sentences for drug dealers, gun runners, wife beaters, meth makers, etc. before you make another such asinine post.
But support for longer sentences does not translate into support for the death penalty in the black community. In fact, given a choice between life in prison without possibility of parole and the death penalty, Illinoisans - black, white and brown - decisively choose life without parole, according to a 2000 Roper poll.
There will be a small core of Oberweis supporters so brainwashed they will stay at home in November, but the vast majority of Republicans will support Judy in the effort to take out the sitting Gov.
Oberweis' percentage is deceiving because of the turnout. Compare the actual number of voters to what he's received in the past. It's the same crowd. They just made up a larger percentage yesterday because they actually showed up. TONS of Republicans did not, but will in the general.
If Stroger maintains his lead David Axelrod will be perceived as a has been.
SenorAnon - Wednesday, Mar 22, 06 @ 7:21 am:
Anon 5:50, way to kick off the post with a goofy, senseless entry. If I have to explain why, you obviously aren’t too informed.
SenorAnon, for the woefully less-informed among us, please do explain.
- The ongoing GOP infighting is a good thing and I highly encourage continuing it right on through the general election date.
- Rod was pounded on by 'the media' for months, and still receives 70% support, while long-term GOP 'leader' Judy polkas her way to a weak 38%. 38%? Against those guys? After Edgar's endorsement? Ouch!
- Illinois is a Democratic state and it is growing more so by the day, even in the suburbs, even in DuPage County...heck, even in Wheaton, probably.
- The odds look very good for Rod and the other Dems in November.
- Question for the Illinois right-wing: can you support Judy and respect yourself in the morning? I'll save time and answer for you: No way.
You might be right, Judy might be able to reunite her party. Just some things to keep in mind:
-Alan Keyes got 1.4 million votes in 2004, so don't underestimate the strength of the Illinois GOP's conservative core.
-You can read the vote in the Primary yesterday along conservative/moderate lines, but you can't ignore the time-for-a-change/status quo split. Topinka represents the status quo for the GOP, while the other three candidates advocated change. Clearly, her message of "more of the same" isn't resonating within her own party.
-If yesterday's election is any clue, November may be a historically low turnout election. That's bad news for Topinka in a state where 40% v. 28% of voters identify themselves as Democrats. Topinka doesn't just need to unite Republicans, she needs to convince independent voters that there is a clear difference between her and Blagojevich on the issues they care about.
Blagojevich has alot of cash to spend to blur the lines between him and Topinka on ethics issues, and Pat Quinn -- who refused to take cash from banks when he was Treasurer -- is the perfect guy to do it. And Birkett? Last time I heard, he was still taking cash from defense attorneys who had cases before his State's Attorney's office.
Polls today may show that Topinka matches up well against Blagojevich, but I'm pretty sure that the more familiar voters become with Topinka's record, the less comfortable they will be with voting for her, and many who are unhappy with either candidate will stay home.
Unless of course, Pat O'Malley decides to make a Third Party bid.
By the way, to our earliest poster, Axelrod and all other professional campaign advisors lose races. Especially when they're willing to take on the little guys as clients. Losing this one - after coming so close - would still be a victory to an awful lot of folks. There are plenty of hacks to look around at - who never win a race - and embarrass everyone who had supported a candidate. That is not the case with Axe.
This day and the next couple of weeks will continue to show the die-hard Oberweis people for what they are. For all of their criticism of Brady for not being their idea of “a team player†I expect few will be “team players†and get behind Topinka to get rid of Blagojevich.
As much as I hate to admit it, you are definitely right. I don't like that Judy is liberal and that is my #1 issue with her. As I've said before, she's nice personally, I don't share her views.
However, if Judy would really push about this pension thing, I think she would have my vote. Not sure yet but maybe. A LOT of State workers are ticked off at what he did - so much so that Eisendrath WON Champaign County. (That was the funny part of the night at Brookens.)
Oh and on another note to the "Looserweis 'annon' staff posters," Brady won Champaign County and most of east central IL. Looneyweis got thrid place behind Judy. My friends and I are VERY HAPPY about that. We worked hard and had a good ground game here. People didn't know a lot about Brady, but the more they heard him, the better they thought about him and voted for him. He won here by 1,800 votes.
We in Champaign are volunteers with regular jobs and we spent our time working for someone we believe in - just like you. Except our boy had class - and Looserweis doesn't.
Enough on that. We need to decide what issues we can support Judy on. I don't like saying this, but right now, I'm leaning on voting for her - DEFINITELY NOT WORKING FOR HER but voting - maybe.
I just want to know what she wants to do and more on her positions. I'm sure ISU Rep will be happy to see me say that, lol. And I appreciate his comments the other day about supporting Bill if he won. Also appreciate your comments above about our ground campaign - you made me cry (of course it could be tiredness, lol). Your comments made me feel very good and that everything wasn't a loss. Too bad we couldn't have duplicated what happened in Central IL to the rest of the state! Thanks again.
Rich, as usual, thanks for everything. Backyard, you're awesome! YMN I like your posts.
Annon who is asking "WHAT DOES A JUDY VICTORY GIVE YOU?"
Answer: IF LOOSERWEIS GETS THE HINT, IT GIVES US A CHANCE TO NEVER HEAR FROM THE MILKDUD AGAIN! WOO-HOO!!!!!
For that, I'm happy she won instead of Looneyweis. If it had to be between those two, Judy is much better candidate than Looserweis. But of course Brady was and will always be the best choice.
They thought that in a 1 on 1, it was going to be a runaway slam dunk. Guess not.
When I woke up republican this morning, I had to take stock for a while. I'm socially liberal but fiscally conservative. Judy is the same. She will cut up the credit cards and put the burgeoning state programs on a pay-as-you-go basis.
I was a Brady guy all along and will have no problem supporting JBT in November. As for her chances...we need to be realistic.
Fundraising will have to be amazing to compete and she will have to pull quite a few moderates. I understand that some of the EE votes will go for JBT, but the research shows that she can't expect many. Every bit of research that I have seen in 3 years of polisci courses states that people are willing to toss a vote in protest in a primary, but largely tend to support the party choice in the general. In fact, most of the research shows that you can run John Q. Public who is not known at all and still pull 25% in a protest vote for whatever reason.
As for Obie's numbers...Frustrated was right. Obie's numbers have changed very little over the course of his multiple runs. As astute political people, we need to look beyond simple percentages and at the other factors. Jim didn't improve much and as such, it's time for him to go away.
Central: I appreciate your kind words towards JBT, being in B-N I have had nothing but positive experiences with people who worked for Brady. They were always extreme cordial and we always agreed to disagree. None had shown ill will towards JBT, like some Oberweis propagandists i've encountered. I was receiving words of support and encouragement from many Brady people this morning. While they are sad that they weren't able to reach enough voters to him the nomination they realize theres another important task ahead, beating Rod.
I, like many of you spent countless hours as well as blood, sweat, and tears working for our respective candidates. Although, I may not have agreed with them, the fact that all of you were so passionate in getting their messages out there is a true testament to democracy in action.
you're luke-warm, corporate republicanism shall be washed away in short order.... it's never been the stuff of inspiration.... yours is a historical footnote.... not much of substance - perfect fit for the many mid-level managerial neophyts.... best to go back to your cubicle and ponder your lunch possibilities
And just to put an additional 2 cents worth in here. I'm an election judge and am livid that people don't take their privilege to vote more seriously. My son is in Iraq fighting for the Iraqi people to have the OPPORTUNITY to choose whether they want a democratic government. I just wish we all have the enthusiasm over casting a vote that the Iraqi people had in their first election, which was enthusiastically exhibited by their population proudly raising their India inked index finger into the air to show their new found freedom. SHAME ON ALL OF US!
people don't vote 'cause they have, literally, sh*t to choose from.... don't you get it?.... there's no REAL difference between the hacks paraded before us the past several mnths.... all one big joke - new boss, same as the old boss
John Stroger's apparent narrow re-election has shown that very little has changed in 43 years. Black voters responded to the nears of his stroke by voting for Storger and other political hacks (as did many other machine loyalists). Several outstanding candidates in other races may have been defeated from these coattails of support for more of the same, for more substandard governemnt.
God help the people of this town!
Whether you like it or not, it is pretty clear that the majority of Coook County voters figured out that Forrest Claypool is not the reformer he says he is.
Between those who did not bother to vote and those who would not vote for him, it is clear that Claypool's rich handful of powerful donors and his millions of free ad space on the pages of the Tribune were totally ineffective in convincing people that HE could bring change.
That was Axelrod's job, to pull this out for his best buddy. Guess this one won't show up on his next resume.
Shouldn't you Stroger people be busy fixing the vote totals in the 8th Ward et al instead of trashing opponents online?
Right.
Sure hope those kids at the juvenile home like beatings, because Stroger's probably reelection means they'll be continuing. Hardly anything is wrong there, remember? The president said so.
Quigley was never Claypool's spokesperson, and Claypool's results in the 11th, 13th, 19th and 23rd wards had nothing to do with anybody named Quigley and everything to do with people named Daley, Madigan, Hynes, Sheahan and Lipinski.
Are you and Anon 12:36 so worried about what Quigley might do four years from now that you are starting the trash talk now?
The conventional wisdom was that between Claypool and Quigley, Claypool's polish made him the reform candidate to take on Stroger, and the money and some of the more calculating liberal interest groups were either lining up behind Claypool or starving Quigley out of the race as a result.
Stroger appears to have demonstrated that polish matters less than having a political base -- something Claypool lacked. Could Quigley have beat Stroger? We'll never know. But the important thing now is for Democrats to get behind their party's nominee. There's plenty of time to fight for 2010.
http://www.suntimes.com/output/mitchell/cst-nws...
"As long as white people are in charge and no one has been hauled off to jail for corruption, it's business as usual.
More important, most black people have had the Stroger experience. He's the most powerful politician in the county because he oversees government agencies that provide jobs.
Before 1994, black people were lucky if they got any of those jobs, and they still lag behind in jobs at the forest preserves.
Like his predecessors who took care of their own, Stroger opened the door for black people."
http://www.suntimes.com/output/brown/cst-nws-br...
"The women fit the prototype for Stroger's patronage army: both are county employees at Oak Forest Hospital. Their local represents workers at the three main county hospitals -- Stroger, Provident and Oak Forest -- and the union had made a major push for Stroger, in part by raising fears Claypool would ax their jobs."
You're so off.
President Stroger was ahead by 10 points on the day of the stroke. Had he stayed on his feet, he'd have won by even more.
As for those of you Claypool Crybabies who are stewing in your double lattes today because you wasted all your time pretending to be interested in County government, maybe now you can spend the next two years to find another great hope to carry your banner in another race in another government.
Next time, pick a real reformer.
Oh, and remember to
BE SPECIFIC
BE SPECIFIC
BE SPECIFIC!!!!
he Governor is not a leader, he thinks populism will make everything right, and still, to this day, does not understand State finances, Medicaid and Medicare, business issues, and local government problems. That doesn't leave a lot that he does understand.
By the way, who the heck is this Daniel guy?
I was sorry to see Rauschenberger get knocked out of the box. I don't know if he will ever recover in the future politically from this one. It seemed like Rauschenberger was doing fairly well until about a week or two weeks before he linked up with Gidwitz and dropped out of the gubernatorial race. His spriral began from that point on. His momentum seemed to stop and the enthusiasm of his supporters started to wane when he joined with Ron Gidwitz. At that point, Rauschenberger seemed to have gone from being his team's pitcher to water boy for the Gidwitz Team. The wind was taken from his sails and the sails barely fluttered in the breeze after that. You seldom heard or saw Steve Rauschenberger after that. It became the "Ron Gidwitz Show". The television screen was inundated with Gidwitz ads but you barely ever saw Rauschenberger except as a "bit player" in the background of Gidwitz commercials. Steve Rauschenberger made a tragic mistake aligning himself with Ron Gidwitz. Steve couldn't pull Ron's polling numbers up but Gidwitz sure managed to pull Rauschenberger's polling numbers down. It was as if Rauschenberger was banished by the King of Gidwitz to the Land of Obscurity. Somebody gave Steve bad advice on this Gidwitz move and Steve took it and ran with it. A tragic political and career mistake was made at a crucial moment. It was very sad.
While the Republican in me hopes that Stroger withdraws, so Peraica will face some unqualified machine hack, the sports fan in me hopes Big John recovers enough to run in November. "Stroger v. Peraica" would be quite entertaining - talk about "two teams that don't like each other"!
I can just see the County Board meetings now. No holds barred.
In 2002, the GOP ran a conservative, and lost. I assure you that this year Oberweis or Brady would lose to Blago 63-37, perhaps worse.
I figure JBT comes out of the primary about 7 points down to Blago, and you conservatives sure didn't do her any favors on that score with the vicious smear campaign out of FTN.
But she has just over seven months, and a lot of water has to run under the bridge before November. She needs a lot more money, but should be able to raise at least most of it.
For now, where are the precinct/ward/county break-downs? That's the only reading material I want.
I have no doubt that U.S. Attorney Fitzgerald will be quite specific as the investigation (5 indicted already) into the Stroger hospital scandal continues.
The voters did speak and they chose Stroger. However, 48% voted against a three term incumbent who had the backing over virtually every part of the machine.
I'm not going to tell you it isn't time to taunt after a victory, after all it is one of the major attractions of politics. Nevertheless, I don't think Stroger and the rest of the machine is going to be well served to continually ignore the large minority unhappy with the County. Their blunt unwillingness to pay attention to the issues the 48% care about led to the opportunity for Claypool to have a legitimate shot at the Presidency.
Finally, even Stroger stays in for a full term or if he withdraws at some point and is replaced by another machine pol, the problems that have plauged the administration to this point are not going away: a thin majority on the board, multiple criminal investigations, structural budget problems, made for front page news stories patronge hiring, and overall inefficiency in the County.
RANDALL SHERMAN
Secretary/Treasurer, Illinois Committee for Honest Government
In '55, Richard J. Daley proved one of Chicago's truest political tenets -- and it was proven again yesterday: when the Irish and blacks get together, they don't lose.
Veritas: Why would you ever want to support Obie after the things he said about Brady, he was pretty much trying to paint him as slow wit hayseed, which is obviously far from the truth. JBT never took shots at Brady..and your definition of true conservative is in your mind. A candidate shouldn't be judged by social issues alone, especially when abortion and gay marriage will never make it through the general assembly. Many of you are huffing and puffing over issues that won't ever come up. If you like the thought of Blago in office for 4 more years then hey that's fine with me.
Daniel is travelling tonight on a plane
I can see the red tail lights heading for spain
Oh and I can see daniel waving goodbye
God it looks like daniel, must be the clouds in my eyes
They say spain is pretty though I’ve never been
Well daniel says it’s the best place that he’s ever seen
Oh and he should know, he’s been there enough
Lord I miss daniel, oh I miss him so much
Daniel my brother you are older than me
Do you still feel the pain of the scars that won’t heal
Your eyes have died but you see more than i
Daniel you’re a star in the face of the sky
Daniel is travelling tonight on a plane
I can see the red tail lights heading for spain
Oh and I can see daniel waving goodbye
God it looks like daniel, must be the clouds in my eyes
Oh God it looks like daniel, must be the clouds in my eyes
Does anyone think Meeks is serious about running as an independent or is this just an attempt to gather clout with Blago INC?
Excellent posts.... Perhaps we should take our places in the back of the buss and let the *puke* liberal repub establishment run off the cliff (once again).... it's always fun to laugh as they wander in the desert.... dem establishment will retire judy in November.... only problem - another one of the minions will rise to the level of his/her incompetence.... very little hope at this time.... though, i hear ex-sen o'malley is earnestly plotting his return
In the baseball spirit do you think we could get nancy faust to play a little nah nah nah for the crazy milkman? :)
That was rather weak.... it's quite reassuring that my many *ahem* "enemies" are unable to intellectually joust.... not altogether a surprise
Otherwise, drop the extortionate horsesh*t. We are not scared.
Here's a re-write, just for fun (and I'm up for truly intellectual jousting any time) ...
------------------
Daniel is posting such crap, it's insane
I can see right through his posts ... but reading them sure is a pain
Oh and I wish I could see daniel waving goodbye
God it looks like daniel, and he's got tears in his eyes
They say the FTN is scary though I’ve never been
Well daniel says it’s the best place that he’s ever seen
Oh and he should know, he’s been there enough
Jim loves daniel, oh-berweis loves him so much
Daniel my brother you've bought the wrong deal
Do you still feel the pain of the scars that won’t heal
Your eyes have died but you see more than i
Daniel you’re a star in the face of oberweis
Daniel is posting such crap, it's insane
I can see right through his posts ... but reading them sure is a pain
Oh and I wish I could see daniel waving goodbye
God it looks like daniel, and he's got tears in his eyes
it really doesn't matter, now, does it.... regardless of the name, the tepids who hover 'round the middle w/ find a way to canabalize their "own".... it's remarkable how often the true base has silently stood against all that is wretchedly evil in order to support the repub establishment.... and what do we get?.... POW!!!! - nothing but name-calling.... so, honestly, most of us could really give two craps 'bout your presious political establishment - let it rot....
jude 41%
'nuff said
Illinois Primary:
Governor: As we anticipated, liberal State Treasurer Judy Baar Topinka sewed up the GOP nomination over a divided conservative field. We correctly predicted that she would not get more than 40 percent of the vote -- she had about 38 percent late as of Wednesday morning -- and that provided her with a relatively comfortable six-point margin.
Among the political back-stories in this race is the waste of money by moderate candidate Ron Gidwitz (R), who spent $10 million to get himself just 11 percent of the vote. Consultants somehow persuaded him to buy television airtime -- something that is far less effective in low-turnout primaries than direct mail, but which tends to enrich consultants because television stations kick money back to them.
Another story is state Sen. Bill Brady, who has a future in Illinois GOP politics. He made a strong showing with few resources, although some conservatives were angered that his 19 percent could have helped the other conservative in the race, Jim Oberweis (R), defeat Topinka. Oberweis, a perennial candidate for statewide office, has probably run for the last time.
Topinka has the nomination, but she is so liberal that it will be difficult to unite the other 62 percent of the GOP vote behind her. Her hope is that Democrats disgusted with embattled Gov. Rod Blagojevich (D) will back her.
But her candidacy is also sitting on a ticking time bomb. Just as 2004 Senate nominee Jack Ryan (R) suddenly imploded when his divorce files were opened after the early March primary, Topinka may suffer some loss of support when the verdict comes down against her ally, disgraced former Gov. George Ryan (R). Any high ground she now holds against Blagojevich could disappear. Leaning Democratic Retention
Many of my friends are conservative Republicans and while I disagree with them I don't criminialize them like some on the far right like to do to those of us who are socially moderate. Name calling and bickering does nothing but keep the other guys in office. If you're content with that more power to you!
The fact remains JBT is the candidate, as well as the best chance to defeat the walking hair piece and I'm gonna POLKA like its 1999! She plays one hell of a mean accordian :)
it was never even applicable.... "wit" was being generous.... a gift of sorts....
Also, rumor is Claypool will concede at 4 p.m.
May I inquire as to why?.... What was missing?.... What could have been discussed that would have captured your zeal?
B Hicks, signing off!
You must therefore favor a constitutional ban on divorce, right, Veritas?
1) While I personaly object to divorce, even Christ allowed for it under protest.
2)Even were I to support the banning of divorce, why would it require a constitutional amendment?
You, sir, would be the "HYPOCRITE."
Veritas - do people in both parties get divorced? Cheat on their spouses? Lie to their spouses? Have children while not married?
I'm not so sure there's much sanctity to marriage these days (which is very sad) and that literally has nothing to do with one party, a group with a specific sexual preference, or anything else.
How does upholding marriage as that union which involves one man and one woman constitute the degredation of gays and lesbians? How does it relegate homosexuals to "second-class citizenship"?
After all, didn't liberal Republicans like Topinka support conservative Alan Keyes when he was the GOP nominee, and didn't the Republican establishment back conservative U.S. Senator Peter Fitzgerald to the hilt during his time in office?
Quick -- someone Google me a link for a sign post for "Unity Street" with a One Way sign just below it.
My original point, before someone decided to inject the debate over church/state relations, was simply that JBT is an unacceptable candidate to those who believe in the socially based principles, enshrined in our platform, of the republican party.
You obviously know no gay people or you would know there is far more to being gay than "sex acts"--having to listen to bigots like you tell me how I am supposed to live my life and who I am supposed to love, for starters.
I only ask that people support those candidates with whom they share political perspective. JBT may indeed have an (R)next to her name on the ballot, that does not in fact mean she holds true those beliefs most commonly attributed to the party. If politics is nothing more than a numbers game, what purpose does party identification serve?
Can you actually imagine Oberweis as Governor? Madigan and Jones would absolutely run him over. Go be a good grandpa Jim, I think it probably suits you much better! Oh, and Daniel......avoid Las Vegas!
1) Is Oberweis going to get out of politics, start a PAC or organization like FTN of his own and stay involved, or will he start running for Senate for '08?
2) Do conservatives blame Brady for not dropping out as Oberweis suggested he do, to give Oberweis enough votes to beat Topinka?
3) Do conservatives blame both Oberweis and Brady equally for both staying in the race and allowing Topinka to win.
4) Will Brady and/or Oberweis run for office again? What office, when?
Thanks
To paraphrase Jack Aubrey: "Don't you know that in politics one must always choose the lesser or two weevils?"
To paraphrase Geddy Lee: "One likes to believe in the platforms of parties, but glittering prizes and endless compromises shatter the illusion of integrity.. yeah..."
I was a Brady coordinator, but I'll be voting for Judy. Brady lost. Judy's now the lesser of "two weevils."
In the real world, politics consists primarily of compromises, of choosing lesser evils, of sometimes picking between two pretty bad choices... welcome to reality.
JBT will be crushed in November.
I second your motion. Most of the times, it is a matter of picking the lesser of two weevils. But sometimes, you get a candidate on either side that makes you go WOW!
Are we sure that Daniel isn't Gooberweis just pouting some more?
Back to the first ding-dong comment (and the later idiotic runaway slam dunk missive).
1) No one thought this was going to be a "runaway slam dunk." Claypool was an underdog from minute one of his campaign. A little known candidate in a little-paid-attention-to elective body taking on one of the Regular Democratic organization's lions.
The very fact that he surged, and it went down to the wire, is testament to his message and his campaign.
Which leads to Axelrod. That some goof on this board would, with precious little knowledge of which s/he speaks, make statements like that is patently absurd.
To try and sum up the career of one of the most successful in their field by one small primary underdog shows a glaring lack of a political or business compass.
As for Navin, loved your eyeglass holder.
But you are practicing the same misinformation campaign that exposed Claypool as a true phony. NONE of the indictments you mention involve County personnel. His campaign took any chance to distort the truth, especially that nonsense about reform.
Voters knew better. John Kass, who I almost never agree with, knew better.
John Stroger won the election because enough people believed that the true mission of the County is in better hands with him, as opposed to a Democrat in name only who had a dubious claim on the reform mantle.
And if it's not John Stroger in November, guess what? We elect committeemen too around here, so the "party bosses" were actually chosen by the voters as well. And if voters are not happy with their selection, they can reject it in November.
In any event, there are those of us who believe that the County provides good services to people, that government provides good services to people. Our candidates won on Tuesday.
Have you ever had an original thought? To quote, "Your party is the one trying to deny gays the right to adopt, have the same legal rights to visit a partner in the hospital or pass on assets, and *I’m* trying to create classes?
You obviously know no gay people or you would know there is far more to being gay than “sex actsâ€Â–having to listen to bigots like you tell me how I am supposed to live my life and who I am supposed to love..."
You have one mindless canard after another. Try reading a book or two. Gays have the same rights as every other American. You want to visit someone in the hospital - go ahead and do it. You want to pass down property - try something called a will. You want to love something - have at it. Love anything or anybody you want.
What you can't do though, is force society to grant the same privileges to gays as they do to married heterosexual couples, because it has been determined over 10,000 years of experimentation that one male and one female in a committed, exclusive relationship is the best method for the continuation of society.
All other combinations and configurations are inferior to the one that has been proven as most successful. That is why society gives rewards (psychological and financial) to those that enter that exclusive male/female relationship. It wants to continue and prosper.
AND way at the top to Skeeter – where did you learn to count? 32% + 19% = 51% something called a majority. How can you say Illinois Republicans don’t vote for Conservatives (actually you said right-wing extremists)? Do you think McSweeny is a Liberal?
The Conservatives lost because they had two candidates in the same race for Governor – its that simple.
Oberweis 2004: 155,657
Oberweis 2006: 227,821 (94.9% of precincts reporting)
Want to try again?
1) Is Oberweis going to get out of politics, start a PAC or organization like FTN of his own and stay involved, or will he start running for Senate for ‘08?
No because he's too dumb to realize that no-one wants him. They might run him for the primary in the senate in 08 if Brady runs. Oh-boy.
2) Do conservatives blame Brady for not dropping out as Oberweis suggested he do, to give Oberweis enough votes to beat Topinka?
I personally don't Blame Brady - I actually thank him for not dropping out and falling under pressure. The voters have a right to pick the candidate. I blame Looserweis for not dropping out and supporting the better candidate in Brady. He knew his antics were obnoxious and he should have realized that he would destroy the Republican party if nominated to run in November.
3) Do conservatives blame both Oberweis and Brady equally for both staying in the race and allowing Topinka to win.
Again, no. If they didn't stay in the race, Judy definitely would have won by a bigger margin.
4) Will Brady and/or Oberweis run for office again? What office, when?
Brady - definetly. I believe he will take a whack at the U.S. Senate 08 race. Durbin is a tough cookie but with the entire party behind him, he would make it. But my true bet is for him to try the Governor's race in 2010. If Judy decides to hang it up after one go round at governor, then it would be ideal for him to run again.
Looserweis needs to keep to his milking of cows and not of people. But personally, I think he'll run again just because the political bug is in him. He doesn't get it. Maybe he should run for a state senate or state house rep and then go from there. I don't like the guy but let him run for a local race and move up. Maybe when he looses the race, then, he'll truly get the picture.