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Letting it sit for 60 days may force the Senate or House to pass a 30 day budget, but I would like to know what he could gain from another 30 or 60 day budget, eventually unless he convinced them pass another 12 month budget the one he gets today would still stand.
So.. I would guess he signs it, complains about it, calls special sessions until veto session, or until his projects are funded....but who really knows what he will do??
That option does create several problems for Blagojevich.
If he doesn't veto all of the member initiative money, leaving Emil's intact, he's going to come under severe fire from everyone whose funding he gutted and from the media for handing $48.1 to the Senate Democrats for unspecified projects.
No matter how he uses the line item veto, its quite likely that Madigan will find the votes for an override. Blago's antics have united the legislature and increased their clout while subsequently diminishing his.
Even if Madigan can't find the votes for an override, he still wins, for the simple reason that he still has the underlying budget and a line-item veto only further drives a wedge between rank-and-file lawmakers and the Governor. Also, let's face it, no lawmaker is going to lose re-election because the Governor vetoed a $50,000 grant for their fire departments.
The SMART thing for the Governor to do would be to praise the budget for increasing funding for education, but note that we still need to address health care in 2008, and sign the budget. Cut your losses and stop the bleeding.
But don't look for the Governor to do anything smart.
As I read somewhere before, he will let government shut down. That will catch the attention of the national media. He will then be able to be seen and heard from coast to coast telling all that he and he alone is fighting for health care, education, blah, blah, blah.
If people have to suffer for him to get on television, then so be it.
He can then call a special session for a 30 day budget which the GA will hopefully ignore as they come back and override his veto. Then he can start calling special sessions on a capital bill, health care, mass transit, and any other thing he can think of, but state government continues to chug along.
I don't think he will line item the thing, because even if he lined out all the member projects, he has claimed the overall budget is out of balance and inadequate to meet the needs of Illinois citizens. If he just lines out the stuff he doesn't like he would be accepting the rest of the budget on its face.
I think a total veto is his only reasonable option, but who says he has to be reasonable.
Of course, it's possible he's just not very smart and is way out of his league.
My gut says the budget hits his desk this afternoon. He uses the weekend and vetoes it at a big press production at 10 AM Monday.
He gets his talking points, but avoids the moniker of responsibility.
He has been trying to maneuver this so that he can shift blame for a shutdown or lack of (insert benefit here) not being available. If he does not sign this makes it almost impossible to sift blame. Line item veto lets him say he continues to fight for what he wants, but is not responsible.
the House and Senate show up? I have my
doubts since we've already seen that he
can't force attendance.
He will demand a 30 day budget, sit on the one until the checks stop completely, do a national tour as a universal health care leader, get as much mileage out of our anguish as he can get, then use the line item veto as the pressure mounts. He will be checking to see if there are any cracks in the anti-Blagojevich ranks as the weeks pass, and decide his next course based on what he is hearing from his flying monkeys.
After today, it becomes the "Rod Blagojevich Show", and he will milk it for every political opportunity he can. He finds the silver lining in every bad situation, so he will be surfing the sewer with a smile on his face.
Remember, this is Blago we’re talking about. Every single thing he does is designed to improve his long term political prospects.
As I read somewhere before, he will let government shut down. That will catch the attention of the national media. He will then be able to be seen and heard from coast to coast telling all that he and he alone is fighting for health care, education, blah, blah, blah.
If people have to suffer for him to get on television, then so be it.
TO NATIONAL MEDIA
Does anyone really think that Blago has any future in politics!?!?!?! Think he has proven that he is a joke and no one will trust him again.
He should veto it and walk away. He played his hand and lost. If he has any hope of fighting another day he needs to find some closure.
observer
Would you please link to the roll calls on the budget? One was 99-9, the other was 52-5. I want to know who voted "no" and "present" and was absent.
Thanks
You want to be politically impotent coast-to-coast? Have at it Hot Rod. The rest of the country might as well be in on the joke.
Reality means nothing to this Governor, it seems. And past statements and positions mean nothing to him either.
It seems like the only way to predict his behavior is to think of the most bizarre, most hypocritical, most alienating thing he can do.
This takes three seconds on the GA web site.
Look up HB 3866 in the box where it says "search by number".
With Saint Barack's ascension, Blago's national hopes are deader than road kill. He has no choice but to stay in re-election mode. (Caveat: Unless of course The Saint wins the presidency and Elvis appoints himself to the US Senate.) The Speaker won't give The Do any achievements to run on. Why should he? And, Prez Jones is staying in the middle just to squeeze as much money out of the state as he can for his faction.
This is pure power-politics Illinois-style.
Take a little time to do a bit of basic, grade-school level research before you ask a question here. We'll all treat you much better. :)
appropriations in a bill presented to him. Portions of a bill
not reduced or vetoed shall become law. An item vetoed shall
be returned to the house in which it originated and may
become law in the same manner as a vetoed bill. An item
reduced in amount shall be returned to the house in which it
originated and may be restored to its original amount in the
same manner as a vetoed bill except that the required record
vote shall be a majority of the members elected to each
house. If a reduced item is not so restored, it shall become
law in the reduced amount.
You played your game on an operations budget and you are going to lose this one. There is no way you can avoid this bill becoming law. Realize you've lost the game but can still win the series. The season isn't over. Put in the scrubs before someone gets hurt (workers) and complain about the refs. Take your lumps and change the focus to the next game (health care etc.). Come back and win the next one and try to take the series.
In other words... veto it quick and let it become law.
I just see no way he can avoid this budget becoming law. All he can do is hurt people in the process. The season isn't over, but this game is.
Should be easy enough to figure out. Commission a poll, find out what the most popular option is; and we can assume that Blagojevich will do the opposite.
10:48:
I think he has petered out. Apparently HE thinks he has a future in politics on a much larger stage.
Anything is possible in America.
If Hynes gets his court order, there is no government shutdown and no national media attention. Moreover, there's not even ancillary pressure on lawmakers to come back to Springfield and pass a different budget.
Not only that, but with health care still stuck in the Senate, the only one the Gov can really use the stick on is Senators. That will go over big with Jones. Not.
And with a budget already through the GA, the Gov has lost his biggest bunch of carrots with the House. He can't promise them anything more than is already in the budget. He could call them threatening to line-item veto their member initiatives unless they [do whatever], but my guess is that by the fifth phone call, someone is going to run to the press.
No stick, no carrots: stop the bleeding and cut your losses, Governor.
There's plenty. School aid payments, contractors, not for profits, etc.