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Will he win? Almost definitely not.
Competition's a good thing, people, regardless of one's chances of in an election. Remember way back when in early to mid 2008 and everybody was calling for Hillary to just give up and back out? Does anyone doubt that Obama having a few extra months of primary campaigning didn't help out in a big way come the general?
Who knows? Maybe a strong showing by Hynes could help knock some sense into Quinn and help him become better oriented as a candidate.
==I’m pretty positive Quinn can’t win in November against a credible challenger.==
Thank God he'll be running against an Illinois Republican then. :)
Well said!
If the Primary Election were held today, 9-23-09, I suspect Quinn would win.
Quinn's real advantages at this point are #1, he is the current governor and #2, he's being propped up by the Machine.
(yes, Mayor Daley John McCain was correct that there is a Chicago Democratic Machine)
It's not so much that Quinn is necessarily doing anything right for Hynes to quit now, though. Quinn is not as strong he and others think, and based on that I would agree that Hynes should stay in. But, his campaign needs to be run more competitvely and needs to be way more strategic in its execution. It seems like the wheels have come off the Hynes express.
Because Quinn isn't that strong, maybe Hynes may be able to put the wheels back on and cover some ground?
might as well make the race interesting.
Also could set up a Hynes, McKenna race in the fall and encourage all of Illinois to catch up on it's sleep.
I mean sure, pretty much everything has gone against him at this point, but it's September. This is going to be a long race and anything can happen.
I suspect in the end this won't be that close of a race, but it's WAYYYYY to early to know that.
He should never have announced in the first place but now that he has then Hynes has to stay in.
Is that really the message we want to send. If not, we'd better hope both Hynes and a Republican mount a solid campaign and keep the many alternatives to this future Quinn regime at the forefront.
Guess this is a sign that Capt Fax is rolling in moolah right now and does not sell a lot of nifty on line ads to Hynes.
Stay in ...or else Dave Winters might bring his comedy act to run against SubGuv.
He should get into a knock down, drag out brawl with Quinn over which of them can take more food off of our families' tables with unnecessary and job-killing tax increases.
They can also show which of them can drive more entrepreneurs and jobs out of Illinois with their corruption, patronage, and counterproductive progressive tax system plans.
They should also spend as much of that union bribe and contractor "pay to play" money they'll raise fighting each other.
That will make Fall 2010 an election even a McKenna could win!
boring and pretty empty, but everyone has a right to run. could
make Quinn look good.
Also could set up a Hynes, McKenna race in the fall and encourage all of Illinois to catch up on it’s sleep.
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Anything that would encourage catching up on sleep is a great thing.
Are you really a republican? Really, c'mon, the truth now. BTW - McKenna ain't the only GOP candidate out there.
If Hynes doesn't beat Quinn, but runs an aggressive negative campaign (which the polling indicates he needs to do to win), and then Quinn loses the general election----What would be the fallout for Hynes?
In my opinion, he would be labeled a two time loser (2004 Senate & 2010 Gov) and spoiler. I think his political career would be toxic for a least the next couple election cycles.
Can Hynes deal with that scenario?
Yes, he should. I don't see Quinn as a lock in late September. The easiest thing to do will be to tag him as Blago's running mate. That alone's worth the chance.
I don't think anyone's paying attention yet.
It's a real shame that some of our Congressmen didn't run for this seat. I guess they're nice & cozy in their Congressional seats.
In the general, I can't see he or any other semi-worthwhile candidate losing to Dillard or McKen-uh. Quinn, on the other hand, lacks the political dexterity to run a mistake-free candidacy/trial governorship. Simply put, Quinn makes me far too nervous in the General as a Democratic voter. He's a populist figure, not a governor (with a small G). It's time for him to start a non-profit, become an adjunct professor, and release Rosen so his fundraising talents can be put to better use.
Quinn has at best, soft support. Hynes is as boring as the day is long, but someone might as well try to challange Quinn, for Quinn beneift if nothing else.
In my opinion, he would be labeled a two time loser (2004 Senate & 2010 Gov) and spoiler. I think his political career would be toxic for a least the next couple election cycles.
Can Hynes deal with that scenario?
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It's not as if the Hynes family are just getting into politics. I'm sure that they, the Madigans, et al., were discussing that very scenario--and possible options--decades ago at the dinner table as their kids were growing up.
It’s a real shame that some of our Congressmen didn’t run for this seat. I guess they’re nice & cozy in their Congressional seats.
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I don't know about "nice & cozy", but agree overall. Peter and Elizabeth immediately come to mind.
Wordslinger, I agree that no one is really paying attention. That's sad under the circumstances. But people not paying attention plays into Quinn's hands. The best he can hope for is a low voter turn out, which is ironic given all that he has stood for over the course of his political career.
Quinn made a good political move by quietly sweeping talk of his 50 percent tax increase proposal under the carpet until after the Primary. I don't know why the Democrats didn't just take their lumps on the tax hike this year and get it over with. Rocket Scientists that they are they decided to wait till the actual election year with an even worse budget. LMAO & voting republican in the primary and general!
Why oh why did he decide to do this NOW? I predict a loss to Quinn. And Quinn can do this. Win, I mean.
========
Fan, Dude, take a deep breath. It's OK...whatever it is.
Dan Hynes is a good guy. He should be considered a candidate for one of our major offices because out of all the freeloaders and scalawags fighting at the public trough, Hynes has always been cleaner and corruption-free. This is Illinois. Why would we be shunning an experienced competent guy like Dan? We should be lucky to get candidates without a rap sheet, let alone someone with a decade of experience in public office handling our fiscal tramas.
Hynes would be a good governor. Unfortunately, his political staff is clueless. Are they from out of state? From Mars? How could anyone advise Hynes to do the stupid political stunts that have backfired on him? If any of them were left after his primary loss - he should have shown them the door by now. Dan Hynes' problem isn't competence - it is the lack of competence in his campaign.
Hynes should fire them all and start from scratch. They have let him down repeatedly.
If he had a radically different agenda, I could see the point of his running. Hynes for Gov just weakens the Dems statewide in 2010.
Don't worry about losing. Make a strong and compelling case about the kind of state you want to raise your children in, the kind of state we all want Illinois to be. Get specific, don't worry about offending the powers that be. Take on the sacred cows and call them out. Tell the voters what they need to know, the things that cautious politicians never say. Tell it like it is, and then tell us how you would make it better. Be specific and blunt and speak from the heart.
And damn the consequences. Be a breath of fresh air for once. Run an insurgent's campaign the way no one else ever dreamed of. Lay out a vision of what Illinois government should look like in 2020, not 2010. Inspire people with your campaign. Think big and bold.
If you do this, the election won't matter and your political prospects for the future will improve. This is the message people want their leaders to give. Give it to them early and often.
And have a ton of fun barnstorming around the state while you're at it. You've decided to give up the Comptroller's office, so this is it. If you're going to go for it, go all-in and run the kind of race that will make your supporters proud.
That's funny. I wonder why. They hated him until January of this year. He couldn't draw 5 people to his fundraisers including his own family. Now, all of a sudden, they are lined up around the block, checkbooks in hand. What changed? Oh yeah! This is Illinois.
Dan Hynes is sitting on $3.5 million and will likely have $4.0 to $4.25 by primary day (if not more). That's a lot of dough for TV ads blasting Quinn and improving his image. I'd say this isn't over by a long shot. Will tomorrow's question be "Should Quinn quit the race?"?
The competition between Quinn and Hynes will make whichever candidate emerges a stronger general election foe.
The long primary slug-fest between Obama and Clinton only strengthened Obama in the contest against McCain.
Do you really want four more years of democrat rule over the state of Illinois? How did you like the last 8? Corruption, scandal tax increases, government waste, democratic party bickering, power in the hand of one at the expense of the many, etc. These are the question for voters to answer and things for them to consider.
I'm the type of person that should be in the Quinn camp and I'm completely undecided. Quinn hasn't accomplished anything as governor that inspires my loyalty. And I think Quinn's political reform agenda is mostly cheap populism with little substance.
money will keep the Dems in office come November, add all the GOP candidates funds together and it won't be as much as either Quinn or Hynes.
In my view, Hynes is directly challenging Quinn far too early. With all the mismanagement of the Blago/Quinn Administration he has many good targets to hit, but first Hynes needs to define himself.
My point about Hynes first dealing with losing is that great competitors never think about losing once they step into the ring, but you never want to step into the ring if you can't take the punishment. In Hynes case, it could be career ending.
yes, he should stay in.
i'm so happy we aren't talking candidate blago this go around.. he would hv run again:(
I'm just asking. I'm not saying. Just asking.
I don't think I've ever heard anyone reference this, anywhere...to anyone. I'm calling shenanigans on that.
Do you realize how imbecilic you look when you misspell imbecile?
Sheesh, man. Go to your local cc and take a basic writing class.
Second, Hynes should stay in the race. Quinn has done nothing to inspire confidence in his leadership style. One day he's for something, the next it's off the table. He can't seem to make up his mind about anything. And it certainly seems like he isn't doing anything to move away from the Blagojevich playbook. If he's going to lead, then he should lead and stop flip-flopping on every issue he takes up.
Lastly, Hynes may be boring, but I'm willing to take a look at him. We just went through a debacle with a good "politician" and that certainly didn't work out, to say the least. I'd much rather have a Governor who bores me to death and can govern than a politician who can give a rousing speech and then not deliver on anything.
Pat Quinn is the accidental Governor. He hasn't earned the position. A little competition is a good thing. He should have to earn it. As a life-long Democrat, I'm not comfortable going into November 2010 with a candidate who spent all of 2006 running around on record defending Rod Blagojevich. I can see the Republican ads now.
First, it's reeks.
Second, a week ago a bunch of Quinnites were saying I was biased towards Hynes.
Y'all need to make up your minds. lol
It's not like he asked if it takes more than 100 years for a baseball team to win a world series if that team should be forced down to AAA or something.
I do enjoy the stirring of the pot. Nothing makes for better political theater.
This is going to be fun.
Just because the SEIU or AFSME endorse Quinn doesn't mean they will go to the mats for him. I'm sure they would be happy with Hynes too.
Sorry, couldn't resist. (And stand down folks; I know both spellings are accepted. Just having fun.)
life long democrates are all physically sickened by both the quinn and the hynes scenario….we need a new untarnished face to run illinois gov.
==========
Hope you'll consider a Republican then!
It's "Quinn" not "Quin"; and yes, this is an instance where a dictionary and thesaurus will fail thee.
Herman "Paddy" Bauler uttered the famous line, "Politics ain't beanbag", which is true and it was never for the faint of heart. But, the political climate is now considerably more dangerous as it can result in ambitious, agenda driven prosecutors conducting investigations which, even if they result in no charges, destroy a person's reputation and leave them penniless.
This may be why we have such a poor field of candidates.
Like who?
I don't buy it. There are White Knights who want to be anointed rather than dirty themselves up in the arena, but I don't think that makes them better.
The scandal-mongering of James Callender didn't keep John Adams, Thomas Jefferson and Alexander Hamilton from participating in the process. And that guy didn't pull any punches or worry about libel.
Not quite. Every disaster scares away the weak while the heros to show up and help.