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Popular Threads
US House stays Republican, down 2 seats.
US Senate stays Republican, even.
McSweeney, Roskam, winners. Zingas? really not sure
Bean by 4 and Roskam by 6
Senate stays GOP as does House, but Dems pick up 5 seats in the House.
JBT - 47%
Marlboro Woman - 44%
More proof that while voters aren't thrilled with Blago, very few imagine Topinka as a credible alternative. She's just too much of a loose cannon. She's unelectable for the big job.
Judy42
none of the above 4
Low turnout. South side Chi south suburbs Cook brings it home
Blago squeaks by 51-48, helped by Dem turnout in C6 and C8.
Bean wins pulling away, 56-43
Duckworth beats Roskam 51-49
Peraica loses to whatever hack the Dems run.
Nationally, Dems pick up seven House seats, pick up four Senate seats (Santorum, Burns, Talent, Chafee, DeWine all lose, and Dems lose one from Minn. or Wash).
After this debacle, ILGOP comes to realization that Illinois is not Georgia and they need to run some fiscal conservatives and to stop running their typical slow-witted social conservative extremists.
Topinka @ 47%
Whitney @ 3%
The U.S. House will remain Republican. I'm thinking the GOP will GAIN seats in the House due to candidates being able to make local issues an important part of every race.
The U.S. Senate will become deadlocked at 50-50. I say 50-50 because Bernie Sanders of Vermont is not an independent but rather a Democrat, and he will win. The big losses for the GOP will be Rick Santorum and Conrad Burns, while the Dems will lose out in Rhode Island to Lincoln Chafee. The race to watch is Jim Talent vs. Claire McKaskill.
The weird thing about this year's election cycle (at least on the national level) is that even though Bush's polling numbers are awful and more people declare themselves Dems, the election is a veritable toss-up. It will come down to money raised, period. Bush may be unpopular, gas prices are high and the Iraq War is a mess but any Republican Senator or Senate candidate can overcome all that with a nice warchest. Ah, politics.
Rod 49%...Chicago Democratic machine will sit this one out.
Good point. I don't put her in that category.
Instead, I put her in the "Only the names will change" category.
I will hold my nose and vote Blago because I don't think JBT will do a thing differently from him. She doesn't exactly have a good government image.
Eisendrath 53%
Blago 22%
JBT 25%
Blago is unelectable!
JBT 49%
Blago wins out of default. He's the evil we know, comapred with JBT, the evil we don't know.
Roskam 52%
Duckworth 48 %
district is too strong republican for a democrat to win.
House gains a couple GOP seats, Senate stays as is.
Judy 47%
Greens 3%
I think that the Dems will pick up House and Senate seats but control neither. They will pick up 7 or 8 House seats and the Senate will be 51-49 Repub. Duckworth will lose by 6 points and Bean will reatin her seat by a 54 to 46 margin. Also, in my area, unfortunately Shimkus will beat Stover by a 56 to 44 margin.
There is no way we're gonna sit this one out, dude!
Blagojevich - 48%
Whitney - 3%
Bean and Duckworth will win -- the suburbs are becoming more and more Democratic.
Phil Hare could lose -- it will depend on how much retail politicking Lane Evans can do for him.
Madigan will lose one seat and pick up two.
Jones will pick up one seat.
Dem. Mike Frerichs wins the 52nd State Senate Seat over Republican Judy Myers 51-49
The Chicago Democrat Machine's idea of intelligent discussion.
Bean 54 McSweeney 45 Scheurer 1
Roskam 56 Duckworth 44
Hare 53 Zinga 47
Senate GOP loses 3
House GOP loses 8
(just for fun...) Lahood 70 Waterworth 30
JBT 49%
I got these numbers from Filan.
Pseudo-Breath-of-Fresh-Air Dem: 48%
JBT: 46%
Whitney/Greens: 6%
The big news will be Whitney, who will establish the Greens and force a Dem/Repub sea change for 2008. And let's not forget another biggie for 2008: a yes/no to call a state constitutional convention will be on the ballot. (Time for the big fix, people. Go Con-Con!)
Speaker Nancy in DC
Leader Harry ?
Need we say more
Q - "Will Governor Blagojevich win reelection this November?"
A - "Outlook not so good."
Q - "Will JBT win by more than 5 points?"
A - "It is certain"
So there you have it. If you want to try the all knowing 8 ball go to:
http://www.indra.com/8ball/front.html
perhaps there are two gov. blagojevich's?
Bring it on!!
Blago 23%
Judy B 22%
Whitney 2%
Apathy 51%
From the Polls
Roskam 52%
Duckworth 48%
Bean 50.5%
McSweeney 49.5%
Nationally Senate = Dems +2
House Dems +7
Treasurer
Radogno 51%
Giannoulis 49%
Indictments (Probability):
Blago 10%
Reyes 33% down since Bush Daley confab on??
Player to be named later: 25%
Topinka/Birkett – 48
Blagojevich/Quinn- 45
Whitney/Saumels- 7
Roskam- 55
Duckworth 45
McSweeney 48
Bean 46
Scheurer- 6
Hare – 55
Zinga- 45
Overall U.S. Senate- no net change, remains 55-45 GOP
Overall U.S. House- Democrats net a measly 4 seats
Wildcard prediction:
Dick Kay Snodgrass wears Hawaiian shirt and earring on WMAQ Election Night guest appearance.
Topinka 42%
3% Green Guy
Blago drops out due to indictments
The cameras don’t seem to do Judy any justice. You know, they just have a hard time catching her beauty. The picture they ran of her today in the Jacksonville paper made her look like Squidward from Spongebob. What’s up with that? She’s a good-looking girl, don’t you think?
Eeeesh
Also, I'm glad that Billy Baroo is back.
Thoughtful people: We have been through this before with Guv Ryan. Don't let it happen again.
What race are you watching? He is gonna get hammered.
Rod will win by 5 points. If indictment comes, JBT by 5.
Roskam will win. Bean will win.
Madigan will lose two (maybe three seats), and pick up the Quincy one.
From there, my guesses are for the most part in line with YDD's. Close but a win for JBT, say 50-48-2, Roskam 52-48 and Bean 53-47. Net gains for Mr. Speaker; no change in the Senate.
BTW, anybody else think SBD (Silverback Dem) was in high school during the '98 election?
SBD, the local Dem chair in Spfld barely carried his precinct for Blago in the primary-good luck in November! I'm sure the folks in Galesburg are flattered, though, that you consider them "metropolitan."
Blago - 48%
Roskam -53%
McSweeney - 52%
Peraica - 51%
Toddler - 47%
Odishoo - 52%
Fritchey - 47%
Ashur Odishoo
Candidate
State Representative 11th District
Topinka 48%
Blago wins because of the people of Illinois are sick of the way the repub's ran the state and Topinka can only offer complaints. She has no programs and is as guilty as the rest of the crew that is being sentanced right now.
Topinka - 34%
Blagojevich - 30%
Rod's indictments heat up, Judy's begin, Whitney absolutely smokes them in the debates.
Blagojevich-Quinn (D) 53%
Topinka-Birkett (R) 44%
Whitney-Samuels (G) 2%
U.S. House 6
Roskam (R) 53%
Duckworth (D) 47%
U.S. House 8
Bean (D) 52%
McSweeney (R) 46%
Scheurer (I) 2%
U.S. House 15
Johnson (R) 64%
Gill (D) 35%
State Senate 52
Myers (R) 51%
Frerichs (D) 48%
Parnarauskis (S) 1%
Dorian Breuer for 1st State Senate: Dorian Breuer faces a scandal ridden Democrat (Munoz) and no Republican.
Tom Abram for 103rd State Rep: Tom Abram (Jacobsson, Bradfield )in Champaign will make major waves and could win this race.
Phil Huckelberry for 88th State Rep: Phil Huckelberry is running solely opposed to a Republican (Brady), no Democrat bothered to oppose. This is a college district!
Charlie Howe for 115th State Rep: Charlie Howe is running against just a Republican (Bost), no Democrat bothered to oppose. This is a college district!
Look for Dorian Breuer, Phil Huckelberry, Tom Abram, and Charlie Howe to have a major impact in their races in November.
The Illinois Green Party also has candidates that should be factored in in these districts:
Roberto Cepeda for 2nd State Rep
Kathy Cummings for 4th State Rep
Nathan Helsabeck - 8th State Representative
Timothy Curtin for 78th State Rep
Illinois Green and Growing!
I share some of your frustration however--regardless of your individual job situation I do have to ask if you remember why you're a Dem in the first place? Why did you remain a Dem in years of Repub rule when most people just went with that flow? In my case I have chosen my party affiliation because of my stance on the social issues and regardless of the criticisms of this administration they have stood up for the social issues that define the Democratic party. That's why I'm hanging in there with my support.
You cannot honestly believe that's true. For your sake, I hope you dont. Abram may pull 5%.
Topinka - LOSES