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Hard for JBT to dispute the she supported bigger government, and more debt since she has remained relatively silent on the Blago budget shinanigans.
She is also going to walk into an AFSME add running around the state which says if we need more money for state services we should "get it from those who can afford it." Hard for her to downplay she is for raising taxes when the Union that enorsed her is running that add.
This hurts Topinka. Her lead is based on name ID, not stong personal perceptions of her and/or her record.
She's been very passive about defining herself in this race so far, and now, I'm betting she's going to pay the price.
The big winner, unfortunately, will be Oberweis -- unless Brady comes into a lot of cash.
The ad is not all that earth shattering. Gidwitz
doesn't have a chance and his desperation shows.
Wrong policies are wrong policies. Judy has much to answer for.
http://www.stoptopinka.com
If you're explaining, you're losing.
Gidwitz, Brady, and Oberweis should have taken off the kid gloves with Judy months ago. Blago will be wearing brass knuckles when he meets her, not kid gloves.
The only thing that the GOP contenders have managed to do so far is get an invitation to join the "GOP Gentlemen's Club". On March 22nd, they will also have the opportunity to join the "GOP Also-Rans Club".
There is nothing wrong with negative political ads as long as they are "truthful" political ads. Anybody that says Judy or anyone else should be given a "free pass" as far as negative political ads go is simply dooming the Illinois GOP to another 4 years of living in the darkness. The purpose of the GOP Primary is to see who the strongest candidate is, it is not a "kiss-kiss" play nice contest. Rod will chew Judy up and spit her out after the Primary is over with. He will NOT play by the Marquis of Queensbury rules that some of you think we should play by. I am sure that you mean well and in a perfect world, I would also like to abide by your rule book. But, this is not The Perfect World but instead, this is Illinois that we live in. When you live in a corrupt state where you are either the predator or the prey, you had better opt for being the predator if you wish to continue on with your species.
i happen to think some disagreement within a party can be good ... but i don't know how effective negative ads are.
By the way, look at Judy's video profile on her campaign website.... she unabashedly disparages every political officeholder in her old district at the time she first ran for office...and they were mostly Republicans!
been clear cut from the beginning.
I did have to chuckle a bit when I watched though... the addition at the
end showing RG's education piece, which I assume was taken from one of the
other ads, looks a bit like an afterthought.
Publius, that is wrong wrong wrong. Ron and Judy are going after the same voters. Obee and Brady are splitting the conservatives. Ron and Judy are splitting the moderates and liberals. The stateworkers are for Judy, and this ad just makes them want to vote for her more. But, the Gidwitz ad will either give him a huge boost, or destroy him. It has nothing to do with Oberweis, he is dead and buried. Gidwitz probably is too. But this is his only shot. We'll see how this goes in the days to come...
Closed primaries -- where contestants are browbeat into silence about the weaknesses of their adversaries -- is what led the GOP to nominate JACK! Ryan.
If Democrats had been afraid to criticize, we might have nominated Blair Hull instead of Barack Obama.
Let's not forget that Gidwitz still hasn't gotten into the fact that Topinka is under investigation for using state resources to campaign, or that she's raised millions from political insiders, and Oberweis will hammer her on social issues.
And McCormick, the Tribune was never considering a Gidwitz endorsement. The Tribune is part of the GOP Establishment's propaganda machine, and Judy has been the Combine's Annointed One since Day One.
You say that "Rod will chew Judy up and spit her out." Huh??? How do you figure that will happen? GRod is nothing special, rather dull if you ask me. I would say he is a couple of sandwiches short of a picnic but he forgot to bring the whole basket.
Yellow Dog -
Are you trying to say JBT has more skeletons than GRod? Hmmm, that's a reach.
The democrats took down Blair Hull? I seem to remember it was the media and his ex-wife that smacked him down.
The Tribune is part of the GOP Establishment’s propaganda machine? That's the best one yet. Their reporters write stories on Blago's mishaps but the Editorial Board has been patting him on the back lately. The Tribune is also gives the gov just what he craves... a big fat headline on their Sunday edition promoting GRods latest empty pander.
1. JBT voted for a tax increase during a recession. I may be young but I don't remember the economy being to great in 1990.
2. JBT has called for the elimination of the Comptroller and LG positions which, in my book, equals less government. Her office may have grown, but is it possible that perhaps that growth was necessary. I'm not defending bigger government, though.
Gidwitz really should have stood on the sidelines for this one and just poured tons of campaign cash into the eventual GOP nominee's coffers. He is basically wiping his ass with his money and for what? 10%? I agree that party/establishment favorites aren't always the best strategy or the most compelling but sometimes they are for the better. This year, Blago has too much money for some maverick guy like Oberweis to come in and play outsider. We need someone who can reach across party lines and rake in the national cash EVEN IF IT IS FROM KARL ROVE AND PRESIDENT BUSH. Oberweis would get creamed by Blago in the general election (as would Brady and Gidwitz).
In response to YDD's tapping of the Trib, I have to say that they are a Republican-leaning paper. So what? The St. Louis Post-Dispatch is a leftist paper, and the Sun-Times is left-leaning as well. The SJ-R...well, who knows with them. But it's nice to have a large paper balance out the media spectrum in this state. You don't like the paper? Don't read it! So what if they're a shill for the GOP? I suppose that it's okay for other papers to be shills for the Dems?
The tax increase she proposed was a swap to get senior tax relief, similar to these conservatives who want to go to a local tax option for property tax relief.
As usual, no good deed goes unpunished.
The exception is when a candidate is seen as mean, ala the Penny Severens campaign when that FBI agent who took a bullet for Reagan (and whose name I can't remember) looked like he was on his way to victory when it was perceived by the voters that he started beating up on Penny because she had cancer. He had his head handed to him.
Where did you guys study political science?
The results, if Gidwitz continues to use his money to bash Topinka, is that she drops in the polls, he rises very slightly, and the other two (Brady and Obiewon) receive the most benefit of the Gidwitz attack.
Rightwing Republican stole some of my thunder, but not all.
Of the many races I've run/worked on, I can specifically remember at least two where we made the conscious decision to "take the high road." We lost both.
When the other guy's gloves come off, your's have to as well. That's just the way it works. The dynamics in this race are interesting because of the number of candidates, but Judy still has to hit back and hit back hard. But it will still hurt her, because so many voters right now are basing their choice on name ID.
As for negative ads in a primary in general, this is good for the Republican party. This stuff all needs to be out there for Republican voters so we don't have another Jack Ryan. Better all the cards be on the table heading into the general.
We all knew this was coming. We just didn't know exactly when it would start. Now we know.