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yes...the monopoly of the political parties in Illinois might come to an end. *SHUDDER*
Blago's done a good job pinning the Republican label on Topinka, despite her best efforts to avoid being a Republican.
The Dems will easily sweep the statewide ticket.
Maybe more important to IL is the loss in MI of a liberal Rep incumbent to a more conservative challenger. Illigal immigration was a big deal there, as the incumbent supported the amnesty plan.
Lamont will be paraded as the clown he is. His victory will shove Democrats even further from their base of voter support. Republicans are going to have him in every attack about the Democrat's "cut and run" hysteria on the GWOT. Like Goldwater, Keyes, and McGovern, Lamont will be ridden by a gleeful opposition party right into the polling booth. It will effect Illinois if the MSM plays Lamont as the second coming, and I believe they will.
Just take a look. As bombs rain on the Jewish state by Iranian sponsored terrorists, the Democrats throws out their most important public Jewish leader - once their VP choice. They don't want to win elections, they just want to show everyone how much they hate Bush, who isn't even running. It is political suicide for Connecticut Democrats, and perhaps all Democrats who continue to cry about fighting this war.
Illinois Election laws are designed to keep moderates and independents home on Election Day.
2) I think Connecticut has no impact on Illinois in the fall. The main issue for Illinois voters in the fall is whether they want Blago back.
Now, back to the question, please.
As for being proud of IL election laws, the worst that would happen is Oberwies making a fool of himself in another election and Rauschy getting embarrassed by his lack of fundraising ability.
So, please, take a deep breath and THINK before you hit that "Say it" button. Don't be a boring regurgitator. The future of questions like this depends on it.
anti-Lieberman crusade.
Our local wealthy Dem libs seem to have disappeared lately, perhaps exhausted by explaining Blago/Public Official A, the Toddler, ongoing abuse and neglect of children in the Dem-controlled Juvenile Correctional Center in Chicago, Hired Truck, the Sorich verdict, the Hate Crimes controversy, nepotism, raiding the oldsters' Illinois pension fund, amd on and on.
They don't have enough energy left over to lead a protest about the Iraq war...and in fact, Illinois anti-war protests have been far weaker than, say, the pro-immigration reform rallies.
Jewish voters. Will they feel angry about Lieberman losing? Add it to the "hate commission" fiasco and decide that something unpleasant is brewing, and they need to nip it in the bud?
That might be JBT's only real hope.
These unprincipled cowards include front runner Hillary Rodham Clinton. She showed once again that she is all about political calculus and ambition, nothing else.
So what outlet do angry Democrats have in 2008, especially now that they've flexed some of their muscle in Connecticut? Just like in 1860, a surprise and principled candidate, known for his honesty and insight, waits in the wings in Illinois--Senator Barack Obama.
Check out his speech against the war before military action began. It not only lays out the practical case against the action, it predicts much of the carnage and problems that have emerged since.
A new poll today showed 60% of the American people are against the war...that'll translate into strong support for those candidates against the war, which are Democrats.
It was only 10,000 votes out of 278,000 cast. Joe didn't realize he was in trouble until too late. He reportedly didn't cooperate well with some of the local GOTV operations that could have saved his neck. His announcement that he would run as an independent probably lost him votes because it turned off partisan Democrats. Joe ran a goofy ad. But above all, he clearly hadn't done his homework over the years keeping in touch with the local activists, organizations, veterans and VOTERS that any Senator needs to cultivate.
If there's an Illinois analogy here, I nominate Carol Moseley-Braun or Crane: pols who felt they deserved reelection, ignored too many home state constituencies, ran a lazy race and got the results they politically deserved.
I don't see any D.C. Dems or Repubs in Illinois this cycle who are gonna be caught napping.
That being said, I think this could have the most impact in Illinois in the 6th CD race where Peter Roskam has said such things as he would defer on issues such as ethics to what the Republican leadership thinks is best. This kind of blind partisanship will be a big negative for Roskam in the conservative yet fairly independent 6th CD.
But over the last six years this old model has broken down. As anyone who hasn’t been living in a cave knows, traditional Democratic interest groups have steadily lost ground to a more partisan, progressive movement skilled at using the Internet to communicate and raise money. The most visible faces of the new movement are the thousands of political bloggers  and their millions of readers  who delighted in panning Mr. Lieberman these last several months.
But the movement also consists of national fund-raising and advocacy groups like MoveOn.org and Democracy for America (the current incarnation of Howard Dean’s 2004 presidential campaign). Call them the counter-Bushies, after the president whose singular talent it is to drive them to paroxysms of rage.
Even as a Republican I have to say I respect the way the Democrat base stood up for themselves and doled out some accountability. Illinois needs more of that kind of healthy partisanship. What the Dems did in Conn. yesterday is the antithesis of the Combine.
If we had more with that kind of backbone here, we wouldn't be looking at such a boring election with no real differences between the 2 candidates for Gov.
What the Repubs did in Michigan, also good.
Illinois: Land of Wimps.
The mobilizers and the balkanizers of both parties with help of Limbaugh/Kos/Hannity/O'Reilly/Franken & etc. continue to lazer-cut political vision. So long as the single note drum beaters can get an audience we will get political anomalies like Ned-boy, Keyes, and the peripheral nut-balls like Cindy Sheehan and Randall Terry.
Look at what the local Chicago papers do for gang-bangers - they become community activists - tell me with a straight face that media is panning for nuggets of truth.
Democracy for America played an important role in supporting the candidacy of Ned Lamont against Joe Lieberman. While many understand DFA as the continuation of the Howard Dean phenomenon, they claim it is nothing but folks on the internet. DFA delivered masses to Dean's effort in Iowa, but the volunteers didnt have the skills. DFA has now developed a training program to spread the skillset for running campaigns to the masses, and there was a training in Warrenville recently.
As evidenced in the support given to Lamont by DFA, DFA is focused on using grassroots support and volunteers to make the Democratic party a better party. Fiscally responsible, socially progressive. Willing to stand up and fight for Democratic principles. How else do you convince voters that the party does stand for something and is willing to fight for those values?
The strategy of national DFA is to take back the Democratic party instead of building a third party. Lamont's victory was a step on that path, and victory for Lamont in November will make it mean even more. The question that remains is whether Democratic politicians choose to support Lamont or Lieberman's independent bid. To support Lieberman will mean they care more for their friends and maintaining their own power and the old boys' club than they do about the party. I believe that DFA's decision to focus on changing the party means the opposite, that the party and what it has and could and should do for the country is more important than ego. Wasnt that the major complaint against Nader in 2004?
Locally, DFA groups that have been in a loose coalition are developing a slightly more formal entity to be known as Democracy for Illinois. We aim to change the local Democratic parties here, mainly by getting better Democrats elected. Isnt this what so many folks have been complaining about forever? People seem to believe in the Democratic party's values but are tired of the corruption and unwillingness to truly address all groups equally and honestly. Folks want a better Democratic party. To get there, the strategy is to develop communities of engaged and progressive citizens with the skills to help better folks get elected. That simple, but obviously not that easy.
If you are interested, please email me or join at:
http://dfalink.com/group.php?id=42
William J Maggos
wjmaggos@gmail.com
Our system is broken. Just because there is still no better system in the world doesn't mean we should't work to improve ours. Stagnation is not good, even for electoral policies. Partisan primaries have resulted in great leaders never even being elected or being thrown out because they don't cater to the extremes of either party. On balance, the country is somewhere between Ned Lamont and the Limbaughs of the right. When will that middle ever have a voice? It lost one yesterday.
I won't even debate the ridiculous, bigoted comments about Lieberman and his allegiance to this country and its policies. I thought we settled questioning our leaders religious life 46 years about in Houston.
I'm not at all unhappy with the restrictions here in IL on stopping a defeated primary candidate from re-running for the same position in the general election.
Imagine what could happen if this was allowed:
You could have 8 or 10 people running (let's say in 2008 for Durbin's Senate seat) in the General for that seat. Might very well see US reps and senators from IL elected with a minority position of the total vote cast.
In fact, if you did this statewide, why even have primary elections. Let's say (between the 2 parties), you have 10 people running in the primary. Then you go to the general election, and guess what, you've got the same 10 people running for the office. Now it would be unlikely, but strange stuff happens. Talk about an expensive administrative nightmare.
Blogs and websites may not have done the legwork to get out the vote in Connecticut, but they certainly kept the fires of enthusiasm burning.
The Democratic primary voters of Connecticut have spoken, and Lieberman should respect their will. Period.
===The conventional wisdom for tonight's Connecticut primary seems to be that a Joe Leiberman loss will yank the Democratic Party so far left as to make other Democratic candidates unelectable this fall. The logic is laughable and similar to what I heard from Republican leaders in 1994. [...]
George Bush's loss to Bill Clinton in 1992 had put Republican operatives and strategists in a panic. They feared that Bush had been beaten like a drum because radical conservatives like Pat Buchanan, Phyllis Shaffley and Pat Robertson had hijacked the GOP Convention. So while Bill Clinton spent the next two years moving left, the Republican National Committee desperately sought moderate candidates that would talk, walk and vote like, say, Joe Lieberman. The goal was to blur all differences between Republicans and Democrats. [...]
Fast forward twelve years and now we find many making the same misguided arguments, except this time they are giving their stupid advice to Democrats generally and Connecticut voters specifically.
Ned Lamont may be a pencil-necked geek, as Imus claims, but he is the type of candidate that will bring out the Democratic base in an off-year election. That is especially true this year because George W. Bush is even more unpopular than Clinton was when the GOP swept into power.
My advice to Democratic voters this year is "Go left, young man!"====
If true, could this impact any Illinois races? Is the governor's hard move to the left an indication of this? I wonder.
It reminds me of the Eddie Murphy movie, "Trading Places" when at the end of the movie, Don Ameche's character is being escorted off the trading floor screaming "turn those machines back on! Turn those machines back on!". I see Joe Lieberman being carried our on a stretcher screaming "turn those voting machines back on! Turn those voting machines back on!".
He believes that the Senate needs him more than the voters of Connecticut need him. The height of arrogance.
It would be fun to see how such a campaign by Claypool might affect the Cook County race this fall, but I'd still guess he would lose.
It's this large chunk of independent voters (which, from what I've read, are more overall than voters that identify themselves as D's or R's) that many feel will put Lieberman over the top in November.
From an article I found at MSN:
"The voter registration numbers would seem to be on Lieberman’s side, if he attracts support in November from Republicans such as Schmidle.
There are a total of about 1.3 million active Republican and independent voters in Connecticut, twice as many as the number of Democratic voters.
(But will Republicans be willing to overlook Lieberman’s liberal views on the environment, abortion and gay rights?)"
Everything I've seen says that Lieberman could win 60% or more of the Independent vote, add that to his Democrat total from the primary and cross over moderate Republicans and he wins easily.
Many voters today think it's necessary to conduct party primaries to have democracy. That is not the case and it wasn't in early American history.
We started off without organized political parties, but soon developed them anyway. For decades parties met at conventions to decide their nominees.
Only as the population grew did we develop primary elections.
Illinois election laws are among the worst in the country for third parties, independents and for voters who could lose their jobs if they don't vote in a particular party's primary.
These are real issues in Illinois that were never designed to promote democracy, but simply protect the two existing parties.
While I'm personally glad we only have two major parties rather than the multi-party mess found in Europe, no one can honestly contest the fact that Illinois' ballot restrictions are antithetical to democracy.
As to Connecticut and Joe Lieberman, he knows what the polls show in terms of his likelihood of winning a general election, so why shouldn't he run as an independent if state law allows him to do so?
And folks can contact Sen. Durbin's office here: http://tinyurl.com/m5pgp
My actual feeling about the events... I think that Lieberman lost because Lamont put a lot of hard work into it. I think the effect of the blog community is grossly overestimated. Sure Kos gets a lot of hits each day, but how many of those people were the ones doing GOTV, phone banking, donating? I think the blog netowrk was simply a little motivation for some people to get involved.
Let me just say this, I'd put my progressive credentials and their long history up against anyone. I am pro-choice, anti-death penalty, a supporter adding sexual prefrence as a protected class to the Civil Rights Act and believe that government can play an important role in people's every day lives. I voted against Bush twice, and against every GOP candidate in my life. That is my whole point. If what I see out in blogospehere that helped Ned win makes me uncomfortable, than where are we headed. I put this out there as warning sign to the party that I cherish.
As far as comparing Ned to Rod, I did so beacause I believe they are both sound bite politicans backed by money. I do not taint Ned with Rod's corruption as Gov. There is not too much substance to either man in my opinion.
With respect to the Joe's e-mail posted on DailyKos, I would be careful allowing a conservative talk show host to guide the Dem thinking rather than listening to worried members of the party like me.
From what I am seeing locally the Democrats will turn out in force this Novemnber in Illinois because they, along with many independents, are upset with what is going on in the nation.
This sentiment along with the fact that many conservative Republicans in Illinois have no interest in backing their Governor Candidate is shaping up to be a good year for Democrats in Illinois.
Secondly, doesn't anyone remember the Alan Dixon primary? Al Hofeld, Carol Mosely-Braun & Dixon ran. Hofeld tried unsuccessfully to buy his U.S. Senate seat but his attempt split the primary democratic vote so badly that Mosely-Braun slid in as the primary winner. She didn't win because people liked her and thought she would do the best job.
Yes, it makes it harder for thrid partied to exist other than as a one time personality cult or issue generator. Upon election, independents learn to "cooperate and graduate" as the old college classroom slogan goes.
Which is why we have heds of independents, to be conviced by grassroots party activists. The doenside is that the politicos become a class unto themselves.
What impact Lieberman? The greatest should be that we can and should hold primaries no earlier than August. Think of the savings in campaign funding.
Next should be a lesson that the wings should take to heart. You can organize and perhaps win election as an independent. You can also nominate the same major party person and have his votes tallied with his party votes as they do in new York.
And as to those who say yesterday was about a lurch to the left, let me just say this. I am a Democrat who sometimes votes for Republicans (well local ones anyway). I am a blogger. I am Jewish. I am moderate, pro-business and advocate a generally muscular foreign policy. I was an enthusiastic supporter of his when he ran for VP. And I think Lieberman desperately needed to lose. I was sick and tired of him being used as a useful idiot everytime W needed to demonstrate that he was bipartisan. Joe just wanted to be accepted by the popular crowd and now he's paid the price. Goodbye and good luck as a FoxNews commentator.
Would we be mentioning his religion either way if he were Baptist or Jehovah's Witness?
As far as IL implications, I don't see many. Joe lost touch with his voters, which does happen after a few terms.
I support IL sore loser law. It only makes sense. If you want to use the party's resources to run in their primary, don't then stab them in the back and run against them in the fall. And the party, remember, is really just a collection of voters.
Expect high turnouts this year in November because people see they can make a change and a lot of people want a change. I think national races may be held to a higher standard of accountability but I doubt it will translate to local races. I think there will be a lot of tight congressional races in traditionally Republican strongholds.
Do you think the Jewish community in Illinois will keep backing Lieberman financially? They give big bucks to a lot of candidates around the country.
Lieberman's decision to run as an independent constitutes "sore loser" behavior.
Lamnot is not a left winger or a wild-eyed liberal. There are far more moderates in the Democratic Party than in the Republican Party. The Republicans controlling the House of Representatives are reactionaries, not conservatives. Moderate Republicans are leaving the Republican Party.
Lamont's victory does not signal a takeover of the Democratic Party by the left wing - it simply reflects a strong desire that Democrats stand up to the right wing and the neocons that dominate the Republican Party.
Lamont's victroy has no implications here in Illinois, other than amplifying what we already know - 2006 is going to be a strong Democratic year - across the Board. People are fed up with the war, the cost of gasoline, and a multitude of other issues. Bean will be reelected on her own merits. Duckworth will prevail because of the rising tide of animus toward Bush, Republicans, and the war: and because the Republican base will not turn out in large numbers.
Republican efforts to denounce Democrats as "cut and run" cowards will fail miserably.
Barring high level indictments, Topinka is dommed because of the Democratic tide that will sweep Illinois and the nation.
It appears plausible tht The Democrats will take over the House in 2006 based upon the present trends.
The answer is no -- once again (whine, whine, sorry, Rich) because of our ballot laws. True independents (not to be confused with new parties or writeins) had to file last December -- over TEN MONTHS before the general election.
And as if that weren't enough to stifle all true independents -- indies are required to submit five times as many petition signatures as the Democrats and Republicans. Lotsa luck, kids.
The upshot: there will never ever be independent candidates in Illinois. Ever. Which is of course precisely what the entrenched pols want.
And while I'm on my high horse about Illinois election law -- did y'all know that petitioning for next spring's elections (school boards, municipalities, etc.) starts BEFORE the November 7th general election? How bizarre (and wasteful, and confusing, and stupid) is THAT??
Whether you call them 'rubber stamp'-ers or 'go along to get along'-ers, 2006 is going to be a touch year for incumbents.
As Lamont said in his acceptance last night, staying the course isn't working. If you believe that -- whether on Iraq or Katrina or stem cells or selling America off to Red China -- then you will likely be voting for the opposition party this November, not the party in power.
National polling trends back this up. Even Jack Carter (son of the president conservatives love to put down) is gaining in Arizona...
----
Dooley, petition collection begins that early because there is never an 'off season' for election cycles. As soon as the April 2007 municipal election comes around the talk will be centering on 2008 primaries...
Message to Illinois: If ya ain't serving the people, the people will boot ya.
1. The Democrats now see the Iraq War as a total winner. Expect all Democrats, including Duckworth and Bean, to push it very hard, even if it means changing their positions.
2. The "Lieberman Primary" will be looked upon as a watershed for the political power of the blogosphere. The liberal blogs in CT casitgated Lieberman, and used the internet to spread an extremist position. He relied upon the party institution and big names. Lookie, lookie, who won?
In Illinois, expect the Lieberman loss to embolden extremists of the Left and Right to use their blogs and the internet to attack the center from both directions. The bad side of the blogosphere comes from the fact that it is an easy place to be destructive, but hard to be constructive, as it favors senational short pieces with screaming headlines. I'm not convinced that this is a healthy development for American Democracy, but it is inevitable, and there have seen eras when newspapers and gazettes engaged in brutal partisanship on a daily basis, stuff that makes today's claims of "media bias" seem silly, so we will survive.
It's a center right country with professed conservatives outnumbering liberals 2 to 1 I think and a majority of independents between them.
Dick Morris had these numbers today,
Those who would consign Lieberman to the dustbin of history need to realize that the Democratic primary in Connecticut is an affair that could be conducted in a good-sized phone booth. About 140,000 people voted for Lamont. But the state saw 1,575,000 votes cast in the general election of 2004. Assume a lower turnout in 2006 (an off year), say 1 million votes, that still leaves 860,000 that can vote for Lieberman.
After hearing him talk last night, I have a hard time believing he can pull it off.
I have a hard time believing Conn isn't a microcosm of the whole country too except fewer Lamon voters to begin with.
Who was that tall guy standing behind Lamont when Lamont gave his big speech last night?
The guy who was sort of disturbingly rubbing the back of the short woman directly in front of him? Wasn't that our own Rev. Jesse Jackson?
Is Rev. Jackson going to take credit for the win? And if so, will it influence whether his son runs against Daley?
And if it's on Drudge, it must be true, right? Especially if it comes out of the odious Dick Morris's cakehole.
The numbers are reality even if spewed from a cake hole.
I can't see Lamont getting much beyond 140,000.
He was peaking already. I think he'll be crushed. Watch him in action. A quirky odd millionaire. Just what Dems need.
Every poll on issues shows that people believe in the Democratic platform but vote Republican instead because Republicans seem more 'together' (on the same page, working as a team, etc).
It is not a center-right country. It is a center country with one strong extreme (right) and one weak (left). The stronger extreme pulls politics toward it, as demonstrated by the number of 'centrists' on the Left who tend to pick up right-leaning talking points, etc -- Lieberman, Biden, Nelson 1 and 2, Landrieu, Salazar, etc (and that's just the Senate). There are far fewer 'centrists' on the Right which "sound like" the left.
And I'm not even going to get into your goofy math which is clearly a false analogy. (You really think every voter who didn't vote for Lamont is going to vote for either Lieberman or Schlessinger? Ummm, ok. A bunch of Lieberman's voters in the blue collar areas of CT are union folks -- and the unions backed Lieberman pretty heavily. Do you think for the general the unions are going to back a rogue running as an independent or a Democratic primary winner???)
I'm veering OT but I think based on yesterday's results and what areas voted how the only question now is whether Lamont gets a clear majority or a plurality, and who comes in 2nd and 3rd behind him.
Witness!
Just Lieberman, not Schlessinger.
I'm in for a buck.
Remember, between now and the election, Castro will die, Cuba will implode, Cubans will be hopping into boats to reunite with families just like the Germans did when the wall came down (or else get shot on the beeches) and Ahmadinejad thinks the 12th Imam will return this August 22nd to finally rid the world of Jews.
Now go watch some Ned Lamont video and reflect how people will react to that kind of Democrat with this turmoil going on.
Make it two bucks.
That he opposes a war that 60% of the population opposes?
Are people really that disconnected from reality to see that George Bush and his Iraqi misadventure are not popular?
Lieberman was weaker because he supported an unpopular war from an unpopular President and he had checked out. He was mediocre on constituent services, didn't work the State very much and had gotten lazy and arrogant. He ran into a guy who challenged him on that laziness and he got beat.
In one of the strongest anti-incumbent years on record, none of this should be surprising--the question will be how broadly it hits as incumbents lose and especially Republican incumbents tied to a President who is often bizarrely out of touch with reality.
I mean, they had an election right---so civil war is out of the question.....Mr. Lincoln?
In Connecticut there obviously were a lot of liberal Democrats who would rather elect a moderate Republican than a moderate Democrat.
Now, comparing Illinois to Connecticut will be like comparing apples to oranges because Lieberman will put together a very good 3rd party choice, but I would be very interested to see what would happen if Lieberman didn't have that option.
Not much.
Look at the demographics who voted for him.
Except Roeser talks up Giuliani... R's are going through the same kind of tension except it's on accepting the National Security Democrats the netrooters are driving out.
So the Republicans have some sorting out to do too... but its about making the party bigger, not purifying it...
Name one pro-choice Republican. One.
We all know that neither McCain nor Guiliani will get the nod in 2008. According to the Bush Team, McCain is mentally unstable (see South Carolina 2000) and Guiliani will be seen by the GOP as a left wing nut. Neither has a chance.
The GOP has been taken over in Illinois by the right wing dingbats. If you don't see that, you must be one.
What happened outside Conn. yesterday?
Two Cong. incumbents lost.
In Georgia, a liberal Democrat incumbent lost to a moderate.
In Michigan, a moderate Republican lost his seat to a right wing extremist.
Now tell me about the future of the two parties. Moderates in the GOP don't have a chance. The right wingers are going after them. Just like it happened in Illinois with Keyes, Salvi, "Rauchy", Syverson, and the rest of wingnuts who run the ILGOP and have made it absolutely the weakest GOP in the country.
When an Illinois Republicans gives you advice, you are better off doing the exact opposite since those guys have proven themselves over the past four years to be really bad at the whole "election" thing.
There is one thing you are forgetting, without the conservative issues there is no Republican party. It would go back to the old Republican party and we could all stay home.
If you can expand the GOP by bringing in more sensible voters who realize that the Dems have gone off the deep end (they rejected a sensible centrist like Joe Lieberman), then perhaps there won't be as much need to pander to the far right fringe.
The GOP tolerates social conservs along with the pro-business/free-market/fiscal conservs who are more moderate on social issues, but the Dems DO NOT tolerate dissent at all. Michael Moore stated once that Joe Lieberman was in the wrong party. Huh??? They're losing it, plain and simple.
That is fascinating because Carter is not running in Arizona.
I'm on record somewhere saying the Democrats fail in 2008 and disappear as a national party.
Republicans will go through turmoil too and it will be over the social issues.
The solution, the uniting principle, is what Justice Scalia said, a judge is no better equipped to make moral judgements than anyone else
The Social Issues: same sex marriage, abortion, stem cells, all belong in the legislatures (no more Republicans ducking the issues, they need to vote there) and out of the courts.
That means a Giuliani or McCain (I think one or the other will lead the party in 2008) commits to nominating judges like Roberts and Alito.
That's the only way to heal the rift in the R party. And I think it's right and will work.
Sure, my only point is both parties are split and for Democrats it will be fatal, and for Republicans healthy (or at least not fatal).
Healthy becuase Scalia gave a frame for it. No Judge (or Party I'd add) is any better at making moral judgements then any other person. The moral questoins belong in legislatures.
So what's critical is the selection of non activist judges, and sympathetic legislatures to whatever ones view is... The President becomes the least important player other than to commit one way or the other on vetos.
The Lamont election sets up a litmus test for throwing people out of the party. I don't think Republicans will go that route.
Lieberman wins in November. I don't like it but that's what the law allows there. And finally, while some may consider Poshard a moderate Dem - to alot of us, he's a Conservative Dem and barely a Dem. Lieberman's support of Bush and the Iraq war wasn't his only step out of Dem territory and I don't think it will be his last. The only place this could come up here - Melissa Bean's race - has voters that tend more conservative - so I think it won't make a difference.
Bush's numbers are sooo bad here that it will be a reverse of 94. FINALLY.
How do you explain that outside Conn., the Dems bounced an incumbent liberal and replaced her with a moderate, while the GOP bounced an incumbent moderate and replaced him with a radical right winger?
Is what happens in Conn. really more important than what happens in Ga. or Mich.?
That is the problem with Baar. He comes up with his theories first, and then tries to make the evidence fit. He ignores evidence to the contrary. It is just weak scholarship.
Was it wrong for Adali Stevenson to create the Solidarity Party after the voters had “spoken†in the Democratic primary over who thye “wanted†for lt. gov.? ===
2 points:
1) Adlai, unlike Lieberman, won the primary.
2) Are you seriously comparing those bonafide lunatics to Lamont?
To the question at hand, I reallze I am quite late to the party but after the initial aftermath of the Lamont win wore off my first thought was that if this is evidence of a backlash towards Bush/the war/rubber stamping/etc. then the Dems in the 6th district have a chance to capitalize on that sentiment with Duckworth in a way they wouldn't have had with Cegelis. Not to resurrect the debate of those two candidates from the primary (please!) but for the dems in the 6th to have an Iraq war vet who has sacrificed for her country puts them in a stronger position to tap into this sentiment. I think absent an anti-Bush sentiment in the 6th the district is too Republican to be in play but what we're seeing now is that they may just have the right candidate at the right time to make it close. I was surprised to have read this whole thread and not seen that angle discussed.
Also for as close as Lieberman made the race at the end you have to think that he lost some votes just for his willingness to run as an independent if he lost. With the margin of victory so small I wonder if he didn't lose the primary on those votes alone. I enjoy thinking about the possibility that it was his me-first attitude that ultimately cost him the election.