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If Sullivan got the nod, he'd seem a lock in the district. He's already beat the GOP in the most GOP part of the district. With normal Dem performance in Quad Cities and Decatur Sullivan would win by a big margin.
And here's hoping that Democrats in the Quad Cities are more respectful and responsible than their counterparts in Cook County. (I wish Zinga the best of luck, of course, but I'd prefer to be realistic).
ByeBye
What the he77 are you talking about?
Does the name Dan Lipinksi ring a bell?
I'm not sure why Rep. Evans waited until after the primary to announce his retirement, but at least we know that it wasn't because his seat was hereditary.
Mike Boland makes the most sense for a replacement. He's the most well known throughout the district and is an ideological match with Evans. It would be a disservice to Evans to replace him with a conservative Democrat.
I thought there was some Stroger reference there - which was confusing. I'm with you on the Lip thing...
Ted? well considering his primary residence has been in Chicago or Spfld for the past 8+ years, and he is a hired contract lobbyist, chances are that would be a terrible pick. Chuck for congress? A 15 year middle of the road dem mayor from Adams, way to much bagage. He would get killed in the Quads. Can't run a municipal guy against a woman from the base of the district. John Sullivan? Great canidate and his distict is primarily in Lanes, but LaHood creeps into it. Do you think Emil Jones is going to give up a seat that is republican weighted? He would never get it back. Jacobs, has his own battle going on, and Lane waited to resign after the primary so the party heirarchy could handpick someone without a primary battle. Textbook move.
That's two votes for her.
Congress: Mike Jacobs
Chief of Staff: Mike Huntoon
District Director: John Brown
TED-DY
TED-DY
TED-DY
Tom Carper!
Isn't this a situation where the Great God Barack Obama should stretch out his benevolent hand and pick the one true successor to Lane Evans?
Yes you lack Starbucks, good martinis, a lakefront, you think the Hilton is a high rise and a septic is a way of life; but you are able to forsake the voting public with the kind of impunity that only a Chicago ward-healer could love. In fact, you could teach "'dos guys a ting or two"
While Stroger guts it out at Rush Medical Center, the Chicago media is ready to pounce as soon as the party committeemen try to replace the ailing County Board president with one (another) of their own.
Former U.S. Rep. Bill Lipinski (D-Archer Avenue) was able to get away with pulling a fast one and putting the Scarecrow, U.S. Rep. Dan (D-Dad) in his sinecure seat. That's because the Bungalow Belt is also another world and the Chicago media slept through that race until Lynn Sweet and Carol Marin at the Sun-Times called them out.
The Lips set the Gold standard for shameless manipulation. The Western, Illinois Democrats are simply following the playbook. I know this is the wrong audience, but where is the outrage?
Okay. Now that I have that out of my system, having a new hack in there will be much more fun. Evans has been sick and I'm no Neil Steinberg. Let's get the party pols liquored up by the still and pick ourselves a Congressman. And let's give our props to the "out-state" Dems. What you lack in Skim Moca Decaf Lattes you make up for with Chicago-style contempt for the voters.
Porter McNeil would be a very solid candidate. He's articulate, popular with pols from throughout the district, and obviously knows how to work the press. And best of all, he's a blank slate with no legislative paper trail. That will be important if the GOP decides the district is in play. They'd love to spend a bunch of money portraying whomever the Dem candidate is as a big taxer and a stooge of the "Chicago controlled" party leadership. They won't be able to do that to Porter.
It is a weighed vote by how many votes were cast in the primary. Some counties have only one precinct.
Scholz isn't union friendly and has lost respect from people that have supported him in the past.
I would love to see Porter get the appointment.
Having lived in Macomb for a number of years, I would agree that former Mayor Carper would be a strong choice. Not sure how well he plays in the QC. John Sullivan is a jackass who is in the State Senate because he was very effective at lying and slinging mud in 2002 and ran against a very weak opponent in 2004.
In the end, this boils down to what the mighty Jacobs empire decides. If Denny wants the spot, he'll get it. If he wants Mike to go to Congress, Mike will get the nod. I don't buy for a second there would be a Danny Lipinski style carpetbagger moving in. Someone needs to ask Denny want he's thinking. I'm sure Lane already has.
I wish Lane the best of luck for his future and with his health. He'll be missed by many.
In the recent primary Mike Jacobs barely defeated an unknown with no money and no staff for a seat Jacobs inherited from his father. He isn't qualified, he isn't qualified, he isn't qualified!!!
On the other hand, John Sullivan would be very, very hard to beat by any GOP candidate. Admittedly more middle of the road than Lane, he would attract significant crossover vote.
By the way, no one's mentioned Jeff Terronez. Jeff was the featured speaker at Lane's Unity Dinner in Springfield last August and was prominently featured again at the Labor Day picnic in Rock Island County. Both times, he opined about many federal issues, which was quite unusual considering he is the Rock Island County State's Attorney.
Either way, the best bet is to wait until just the last minute so Zinga has to keep guessing.
Paul Mangieri makes the most sense at this point. He has a lot of name ID and isn't perceive as negatively as Mike Jacobs. IMHO, the Dems have to find someone with extensive government experience to take on ALZ. A popular Congressman retiring is enough to get the GOP active and motivated.
Her Democratic opponent better not get his hopes up.
Zinga is also a national personality. The day she is elected, she will weild more influence than Evans ever did. If the Republicans control the House, as expected, she will be on some major committes. (The Veteran's Committee is just a back water. Look at who's on it. None of the major players).
Zinga will put the Illinois Quad Cities on the map and bring home the bacon like it was never done.
I am with Mike.
And you can forget the idea of Zinga stepping aside and Tenhouse running. First off, won't happen; second, Tenhouse also lives in LaHood's district (Liberty--if those of you up north can find it).
As for Lane's pension/pay, check out Ed Felker's recent stories on this issue in the Dispatch. He fell off the "no pay raise" wagon many years ago. If he never took a pay raise from when he first was elected in 82, he would probably be making like $50k right now. Felker points out Lane does have some healthy investments.
And he only recently started participating in the retirement plan. Hate to say this, but the retirement is one of the great perks of office. Kind of a dumb move by Lane. You might has well take it because you'll get crap about it anyway.
COUNTY EVANS
ADAMS 4039
CALHOUN 336
CHRISTIAN 352
FAYETTE 131
FULTON 6025
GREENE 346
HANCOCK 656
HENDERSON 388
HENRY 1106
JERSEY 159
KNOX 2773
MACON 5119
MACOUPIN 5742
MADISON 322
McDONOUGH 1603
MERCER 1279
MONTGOMERY 1244
PIKE 248
ROCK ISLAND 11356
SANGAMON 1262
SHELBY 189
WARREN 651
WHITESIDE 1002
Totals 46328
Good points, but please don't forget Mr. Shimkus and others in Newt's class who promised self-imposed term limits.
Nice to see you again Tessa. Ditto on Lane.